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IlSeason 2026

St. Paul vs Toledo Mud Hens

28 August 2026 at 01:07
AI

Toledo Mud Hens hit three home runs and drew nine walks to beat St. Paul Saints 9-3 at CHS Field, snapping a five-game losing streak.

Match Analysis

AI Summary

Toledo Mud Hens hammer St. Paul Saints 9–3 behind Cruz, Burt homers

The Toledo Mud Hens (25–28 second half) opened their six-game series at CHS Field with a commanding 9–3 win over the St. Paul Saints (31–22) on Thursday night, powered by three home runs and nine walks against Saints pitching.

How It Unfolded

St. Paul starter Ricky Castro (L, 3–3) never found a rhythm. The Mud Hens struck in the first when Trei Cruz launched a solo homer to right-centre — his third of the season — for a 1–0 lead.

Castro's control unravelled in the second. Cal Stevenson singled, stole second, and moved to third on a wild pitch before Michael Siani crushed a two-run homer to right, making it 3–0 Mud Hens.

Toledo broke the game open in the fourth. Stevenson and Max Burt walked to open the inning, Siani sacrificed them over, and Cruz punched a two-run single to centre, stretching the lead to 5–0 and chasing Castro (3.1 IP, 5 H, 5 ER, 3 BB, 6 K).

Burt added a two-run blast in the fifth off reliever Alejandro Hidalgo — his third homer of the season — to make it 7–0.

St. Paul finally answered in the bottom of the fifth. Tristan Gray singled, and Tanner Schobel crushed a two-run homer to left-centre off Mud Hens reliever Beau Brieske, trimming the deficit to 7–2. Emmanuel Rodriguez led off the sixth with a solo homer — his 10th — to make it 7–3.

But the Mud Hens snuffed any comeback hopes in the eighth. Stevenson walked again, Burt singled, and Josue Briceño deposited a two-run double off Marco Raya to restore the six-run cushion at 9–3.

The Turning Point

The game flipped decisively in the second inning. After Stevenson reached base, stole second, and scored on Castro's wild pitch — all before Siani's two-run homer — the Saints trailed 3–0 and their starter was rattled. Castro threw 80 pitches across 3.1 innings, and the Mud Hens pounced on every mistake. From that point, Toledo never led by fewer than three runs.

Key Performers

Trei Cruz (TOL): 2-for-4 with a solo homer, a two-run single, three RBIs, two runs, and a walk. His first-inning blast set the tone and his fourth-inning single broke the game open.

Cal Stevenson (TOL): 1-for-3 with three runs, two walks, and a stolen base. He reached base three times and scored in the second, fourth, and fifth innings — the catalyst at the top of the order.

Max Burt (TOL): 1-for-4 with a two-run homer, two RBIs, and a walk. His fifth-inning shot — the Mud Hens' third homer — effectively ended any realistic St. Paul rally.

Tanner Schobel (STP): 2-for-3 with a two-run homer and a walk. He provided St. Paul's only meaningful offence with his sixth homer of the season.

Player of the Match: Trei Cruz — his three RBIs and all-around impact from the leadoff spot drove the Mud Hens' offence.

By the Numbers — Interpreted

The Mud Hens managed only eight hits but turned them into nine runs by drawing nine walks, a theme that defined the night. St. Paul's staff issued free passes to 29% of batters faced. Toledo struck out 15 times but still posted a .474 OBP, underscoring how damaging the walks were. The Saints' pitchers threw 125 strikes against 89 balls — a 58% strike rate that is well below the 64% Triple-A average.

The Saints collected seven hits and two homers but went 0-for-7 with runners in scoring position. St. Paul's only runs came via the long ball; they never strung together a rally.

Toledo's bullpen was efficient after starter Carl Edwards Jr. (4.1 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 7 K) left. Five relievers combined for 4.2 innings of four-hit, two-run ball, with Brieske (W, 3-0) eating the middle innings despite surrendering both St. Paul homers.

What It Means

In the International League West second-half standings, St. Paul (31–22) remained one game behind Indianapolis (32–20) after the Indians also won on Thursday. Toledo (25–28) climbed to within seven games of the division lead.

The Mud Hens — who had lost five straight before this game — snapped their skid in emphatic fashion and improved to 12–14 on the road in the second half. St. Paul dropped to 17–7 at home.

The series continues Friday at 7:07 p.m. CT at CHS Field. St. Paul will send RHP Sawyer Gipson-Long to the mound; Toledo's probable starter is TBA.

Verdict

Toledo's approach was simple and effective: work the count, take walks, and punish mistakes. Castro's wildness and Hidalgo's inability to throw strikes handed the Mud Hens a lead they never threatened to relinquish. St. Paul's offence showed pop — two solo homers — but lacked the sequencing to mount a genuine comeback. A flat start by the Saints and a disciplined, aggressive game by the Mud Hens decided this one early.

Rivalry since 2024

St. Paul vs Toledo Mud Hens Head to Head Results· 50

St. Paul and Toledo Mud Hens have met 50 times — St. Paul won 26, Toledo Mud Hens won 24, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2024. St. Paul leads the head-to-head with 26 victories from 50 meetings. A combined 522 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 10.44 per match (260 for the home side, 262 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 46 matches (92%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 47 games (94%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 9–20 in 2024.

26
wins
Drawn
0
·
Total goals
522 · 10.4/match
Both scored
46/50 · 92%
Over 2.5
47/50 · 94%

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 29 Aug 2026