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Sunderland vs Watford

4 October 2023 at 19:45Stadium of Light, Sunderland
20
Referee: A. Davies

Match Summary

Sunderland defeated Watford 2:0. The match was played in Championship 2023.

Rivalry since 2015

Sunderland vs Watford Head to Head Results· 9

Sunderland and Watford have met 9 times — Sunderland won 1, Watford won 4, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2015. Watford leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 9 meetings. A combined 23 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.56 per match (10 for the home side, 13 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (56%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 games (56%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Watford are currently unbeaten in the last 6 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–2 in 2025.

Drawn
4
·
4
wins
Total goals
23 · 2.6/match
Both scored
5/9 · 56%
Over 2.5
5/9 · 56%

Recent Meetings

08/02/25Championship
Match Details
28/09/24Championship
Match Details
27/04/24Championship
Match Details
29/04/23Championship
Match Details
17/09/22Championship
Match Details
01/04/17Premier League
Match Details
17/12/16Premier League
Match Details
15/05/16Premier League
Match Details
12/12/15Premier League
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 22 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Sunderland have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Watford show 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from their last 6 outings.

Watford

LLLLLD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3

Average goals per game

67%

Games with 3+ goals

67%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
3
6 meetings
2
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (33%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (50%) — the odds may underestimate Watford.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

8 Feb 202524/251.50/4.29/6.20
Match Details
28 Sept 202424/252.84/3.47/2.43
Match Details
27 Apr 202423/242.39/3.21/3.17
Match Details
4 Oct 202323/241.94/3.54/3.95
Match Details
29 Apr 202322/231.82/3.59/4.45
Match Details
17 Sept 202222/232.01/3.45/3.79
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 5.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 51.5%Draw 28.3%Away 25.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.933.403.70
Max1.953.714.16
Over 2.5: 55.6%Under 2.5: 50.0%
Market favourite:Sunderland · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market50.4%26.2%23.4%
Public market48.5%27.8%23.7%
Δ1.9%1.6%0.3%

Sunderland vs Watford — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Sunderland
Result vs. Market: Sunderland (51%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

SunderlandHalf-time:10Watford
9Shots11
4Shots on target4

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Sunderland

W 118D 66L 92
Over 2.549
Goals scored382

Away Record: Watford

W 265D 195L 230
Over 2.553
Goals scored989

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026