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Rotherham vs Watford

17 February 2024 at 15:00AESSEAL New York Stadium, Rotherham, South Yorkshire
01
Referee: A. Kitchen

Match Summary

Watford defeated Rotherham 1:0. The match was played in Championship 2023.

Rivalry since 2014

Rotherham vs Watford Head to Head Results· 7

Rotherham and Watford have met 7 times — Rotherham won 0, Watford won 5, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2014. Watford leads the head-to-head with 5 victories from 7 meetings. A combined 21 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.00 per match (3 for the home side, 18 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (43%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (43%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Watford are currently unbeaten in the last 7 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–0 in 2023.

Drawn
2
·
5
wins
Total goals
21 · 3.0/match
Both scored
3/7 · 43%
Over 2.5
3/7 · 43%

Recent Meetings

11/11/23Championship
Match Details
21/01/23Championship
Match Details
03/09/22Championship
Match Details
16/03/21Championship
Match Details
08/12/20Championship
Match Details
24/02/15Championship
Match Details
19/08/14Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 50 v 2023

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Rotherham have recorded 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats. Watford show 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from their last 6 outings.

Rotherham

LDLWLL

Watford

LLLLLD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Watford dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Rotherham0wins
2draws8 meetings
Watford6wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.8

Average goals per game

38%

Games with 3+ goals

38%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (21%) — the odds may underestimate Watford.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 22.9%Draw 28.5%Away 54.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min4.203.401.80
Max4.563.611.88
Over 2.5: 48.8%Under 2.5: 57.1%
Market favourite:Watford · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market21.3%26.9%51.7%
Public market21.8%27.0%51.1%

Rotherham vs Watford — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Watford
Result vs. Market: Watford (54%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

RotherhamHalf-time:00Watford
19Shots8
1Shots on target1

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

17 Feb 202423/244.36/3.50/1.84
11 Nov 202323/241.46/4.21/7.35
21 Jan 202322/231.56/4.16/6.01
3 Sept 202222/233.33/3.23/2.27
16 Mar 202120/215.65/3.79/1.64
8 Dec 202020/211.47/4.35/7.13
19/08/1414/152.95/3.48/2.44
24/02/1514/151.68/3.98/5.16

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Rotherham

W 69D 102L 197
Over 2.549
Goals scored356

Away Record: Watford

W 265D 195L 230
Over 2.553
Goals scored989

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026