Menu

Birmingham vs Southampton

2 March 2024 at 15:00St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park, Birmingham
Referee: J. Bell

Match Summary

Southampton defeated Birmingham 4:3. The match was played in Championship 2023.

Rivalry since 2011

Birmingham vs Southampton Head to Head Results· 5

Birmingham and Southampton have met 5 times — Birmingham won 0, Southampton won 3, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Southampton leads the head-to-head with 3 victories from 5 meetings. A combined 15 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.00 per match (4 for the home side, 11 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 4 matches (80%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (60%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Southampton are currently unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–1 in 2011.

Drawn
2
·
Total goals
15 · 3.0/match
Both scored
4/5 · 80%
Over 2.5
3/5 · 60%

Recent Meetings

29/12/25Championship
Match Details
06/12/25Championship
Match Details
28/10/23Championship
Match Details
04/02/12Championship
Match Details
18/09/11Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 41 v 2011

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Birmingham have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Southampton show 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Birmingham3wins
2draws10 meetings
Southampton5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.6

Average goals per game

70%

Games with 3+ goals

80%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (23%) — the odds may underestimate Birmingham.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 25.0%Draw 26.1%Away 54.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.803.701.85
Max4.194.011.85
Over 2.5: 61.7%Under 2.5: 44.4%
Market favourite:Southampton · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market23.2%24.2%52.6%
Public market23.7%25.0%51.3%
Δ0.5%0.7%1.3%

Birmingham vs Southampton — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Southampton
Result vs. Market: Southampton (54%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BirminghamHalf-time:21Southampton
13Shots25
4Shots on target10

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

29/11/0606/072.44/3.11/2.63
29 Dec 202525/262.33/3.45/2.88
6 Dec 202525/262.29/3.52/2.90
2 Mar 202423/244.00/3.84/1.85
28 Oct 202323/241.60/4.06/5.51
18/09/1111/121.72/3.51/4.96
16/08/0808/092.98/3.25/2.22
14/04/0706/071.97/3.21/3.43
3 Jul 200908/091.85/3.35/4.36
2 Apr 201211/122.11/3.27/3.28

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Birmingham

W 247D 211L 278
Over 2.544
Goals scored869

Away Record: Southampton

W 131D 94L 97
Over 2.552
Goals scored482

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026