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Oxford United vs Millwall

30 November 2024 at 12:30The Kassam Stadium, Oxford, Oxfordshire
Referee: A. Backhouse

Match Summary

Oxford United and Millwall drew 1:1. The match was played in Championship 2024.

Rivalry since 2016

Oxford United vs Millwall Head to Head Results· 7

Oxford United and Millwall have met 7 times — Oxford United won 3, Millwall won 3, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. A combined 16 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.29 per match (9 for the home side, 7 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (29%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (43%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–2 in 2025.

Drawn
1
·
Total goals
16 · 2.3/match
Both scored
2/7 · 29%
Over 2.5
3/7 · 43%

Recent Meetings

02/05/26Championship
Match Details
01/11/25Championship
Match Details
01/01/25Championship
Match Details
22/04/17League One
Match Details
29/10/16League One
Match Details
02/02/16EFL Trophy
Match Details
14/01/16EFL Trophy
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 22 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Oxford United have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats. Millwall show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

25%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
2
4 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (26%) — the odds may underestimate Millwall.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

2 May 202625/261.30/5.25/7.50
Match Details
1 Nov 202525/262.70/3.30/2.45
Match Details
1 Jan 202524/251.70/3.65/5.08
Match Details
30 Nov 202424/253.51/3.35/2.14
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 5.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 28.5%Draw 29.8%Away 46.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.403.252.10
Max3.623.502.20
Over 2.5: 42.0%Under 2.5: 63.7%
Market favourite:Millwall · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market26.3%28.8%44.9%
Public market27.9%27.1%45.1%
Δ1.5%1.7%0.2%

Oxford United vs Millwall — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Millwall (47%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Oxford UnitedHalf-time:01Millwall
8Shots11
3Shots on target3

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Oxford United

W 24D 28L 40
Over 2.541
Goals scored94

Away Record: Millwall

W 250D 216L 270
Over 2.541
Goals scored816

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026