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Livingston vs Ayr Utd

21 December 2024 at 15:00Home of the Set Fare Arena, Livingston
01
Referee: D. Williams

Match Summary

Ayr Utd defeated Livingston 1:0. The match was played in Championship 2024.

Rivalry since 2011

Livingston vs Ayr Utd Head to Head Results· 10

Livingston and Ayr Utd have met 10 times — Livingston won 6, Ayr Utd won 3, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Livingston leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 10 meetings. A combined 28 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.80 per match (19 for the home side, 9 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (70%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Livingston are currently unbeaten in the last 6 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–0 in 2025.

Drawn
1
·
3
wins
Total goals
28 · 2.8/match
Both scored
5/10 · 50%
Over 2.5
7/10 · 70%

Recent Meetings

18/04/25Championship
Match Details
22/02/25Championship
Match Details
19/10/24Championship
Match Details
19/08/23League Cup
Match Details
28/11/20League Cup
Match Details
16/07/19League Cup
Match Details
14/04/12Championship
Match Details
06/03/12Championship
Match Details
25/02/12Championship
Match Details
15/10/11Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 50 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Livingston have recorded 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats. Ayr Utd show 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Ayr Utd

LLLWLD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Livingston dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Livingston7wins
0draws8 meetings
Ayr Utd1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.1

Average goals per game

75%

Games with 3+ goals

63%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (75%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (45%) — the odds may underestimate Livingston.

Market Summary

Margin: 7.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 48.9%Draw 30.4%Away 28.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.953.203.50
Max2.103.403.60
Over 2.5: 45.5%Under 2.5: 60.6%
Market favourite:Livingston · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market44.9%28.7%26.4%
Public market46.9%26.9%26.1%
Δ2.0%1.8%0.3%

Livingston vs Ayr Utd — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Ayr Utd
Result vs. Market: Livingston (49%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

LivingstonHalf-time:01Ayr Utd
7Shots3
2Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

18 Apr 202524/251.81/3.34/4.37
22 Feb 202524/252.36/3.18/2.92
21 Dec 202424/252.05/3.29/3.55
19 Oct 202424/252.36/3.26/2.87
29/04/0099/00
29/02/0099/00
16/10/9999/00
14/08/9999/00

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Livingston

W 169D 105L 158
Over 2.554
Goals scored638

Away Record: Ayr Utd

W 214D 192L 260
Over 2.548
Goals scored851

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026