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Norwich vs Millwall

26 December 2024 at 15:00Carrow Road, Norwich, Norfolk
21
Referee: T. Nield

Match Summary

Norwich defeated Millwall 2:1. The match was played in Championship 2024.

Rivalry since 2014

Norwich vs Millwall Head to Head Results· 15

Norwich and Millwall have met 15 times — Norwich won 9, Millwall won 4, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2014. Norwich leads the head-to-head with 9 victories from 15 meetings. A combined 52 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.47 per match (31 for the home side, 21 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 10 matches (67%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 games (73%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–3 in 2018.

9
wins
Drawn
2
·
Total goals
52 · 3.5/match
Both scored
10/15 · 67%
Over 2.5
11/15 · 73%

Recent Meetings

06/04/26Championship
Match Details
09/08/25Championship
Match Details
21/04/25Championship
Match Details
29/12/23Championship
Match Details
20/08/23Championship
Match Details
04/03/23Championship
Match Details
19/08/22Championship
Match Details
02/02/21Championship
Match Details
03/11/20Championship
Match Details
02/03/19Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 43 v 2018

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Norwich have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Millwall show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Norwich

LDWWLW

Millwall

LDWDWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Norwich5wins
2draws10 meetings
Millwall3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (44%) — the odds may underestimate Norwich.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 46.2%Draw 30.6%Away 28.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.153.203.40
Max2.203.303.56
Over 2.5: 45.5%Under 2.5: 59.9%
Market favourite:Norwich · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market44.3%28.9%26.8%
Public market43.7%29.4%26.9%

Norwich vs Millwall — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Norwich
Result vs. Market: Norwich (46%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

NorwichHalf-time:20Millwall
9Shots8
4Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

6 Apr 202625/262.15/3.30/3.25
9 Aug 202525/262.02/3.33/3.81
21 Apr 202524/252.20/3.33/3.33
26 Dec 202424/252.17/3.26/3.49
29 Dec 202323/242.49/3.35/2.83
20 Aug 202323/242.02/3.49/3.47
4 Mar 202322/232.56/3.14/2.93
19 Aug 202222/231.97/3.36/4.13
2 Feb 202120/213.83/3.28/2.07
3 Nov 202020/211.90/3.55/4.15

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Norwich

W 271D 155L 218
Over 2.553
Goals scored961

Away Record: Millwall

W 250D 216L 270
Over 2.541
Goals scored816

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026