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Luton vs Portsmouth

1 March 2025 at 15:00Kenilworth Road, Luton, Bedfordshire
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Luton

10
Referee: S. Allison

Match Summary

Luton defeated Portsmouth 1:0. The match was played in Championship 2024.

Rivalry since 2014

Luton vs Portsmouth Head to Head Results· 11

Luton and Portsmouth have met 11 times — Luton won 2, Portsmouth won 5, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2014. Portsmouth leads the head-to-head with 5 victories from 11 meetings. A combined 21 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.91 per match (8 for the home side, 13 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (45%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (27%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Luton are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2019.

2
wins
Drawn
4
·
Total goals
21 · 1.9/match
Both scored
5/11 · 45%
Over 2.5
3/11 · 27%

Recent Meetings

17/08/24Championship
Match Details
24/07/21Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
29/01/19League One
Match Details
04/08/18League One
Match Details
04/11/17FA Cup
Match Details
02/01/17League Two
Match Details
22/11/16League Two
Match Details
28/12/15League Two
Match Details
29/08/15League Two
Match Details
14/03/15League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 32 v 2019

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Luton have recorded 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats. Portsmouth show 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Luton

WWWDWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

0.5

Average goals per game

0%

Games with 3+ goals

0%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

1
wins
draws
1
2 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (43%) — the odds may underestimate Luton.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

1 Mar 202524/252.17/3.31/3.38
Match Details
17 Aug 202424/253.04/3.51/2.29
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 5.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 46.1%Draw 30.2%Away 29.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.153.303.35
Max2.213.343.40
Over 2.5: 48.8%Under 2.5: 55.6%
Market favourite:Luton · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market43.1%28.5%28.4%
Public market43.8%28.5%27.7%

Luton vs Portsmouth — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Luton
Result vs. Market: Luton (46%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

LutonHalf-time:10Portsmouth
10Shots7
2Shots on target1

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Luton

W 113D 79L 130
Over 2.547
Goals scored379

Away Record: Portsmouth

W 56D 49L 79
Over 2.545
Goals scored210

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026