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Ayr Utd vs Queen's Park

26 April 2025 at 15:00Somerset Park, Ayr
22
Referee: S. Murdoch

Match Summary

Ayr Utd and Queen's Park drew 2:2. The match was played in Championship 2024.

Rivalry since 2017

Ayr Utd vs Queen's Park Head to Head Results· 19

Ayr Utd and Queen's Park have met 19 times — Ayr Utd won 10, Queen's Park won 3, with 6 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2017. Ayr Utd leads the head-to-head with 10 victories from 19 meetings. A combined 64 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.37 per match (41 for the home side, 23 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 13 matches (68%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 games (63%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Queen's Park are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–5 in 2023.

10
wins
Drawn
6
·
Total goals
64 · 3.4/match
Both scored
13/19 · 68%
Over 2.5
12/19 · 63%

Recent Meetings

14/03/26Championship
Match Details
10/03/26Championship
Match Details
25/10/25Championship
Match Details
30/08/25Championship
Match Details
04/03/25Championship
Match Details
16/11/24Championship
Match Details
21/09/24Championship
Match Details
23/03/24Championship
Match Details
27/01/24Championship
Match Details
04/11/23Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 25 v 2023

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Ayr Utd have recorded 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats. Queen's Park show 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Ayr Utd3wins
6draws10 meetings
Queen's Park1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.4

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

90%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (63%) — the odds may underestimate Queen's Park.

Market Summary

Margin: 8.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 67.1%Draw 25.2%Away 16.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.483.905.75
Max1.504.056.56
Over 2.5: 50.0%Under 2.5: 54.1%
Market favourite:Ayr Utd · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market62.9%23.0%14.2%
Public market60.8%23.4%15.9%
Δ2.1%0.4%1.7%

Ayr Utd vs Queen's Park — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Ayr Utd (67%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Ayr UtdHalf-time:12Queen's Park
10Shots3
5Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

14 Mar 202625/263.00/3.00/2.20
10 Mar 202625/261.67/3.30/4.75
25 Oct 202525/263.85/3.29/1.94
30 Aug 202525/261.65/3.92/4.54
26 Apr 202524/251.49/3.97/6.15
4 Mar 202524/253.30/3.16/2.21
16 Nov 202424/251.99/3.30/3.82
21 Sept 202424/252.97/3.39/2.25
4 Nov 202323/242.05/3.61/3.15
22 Sept 202323/241.99/3.45/3.36

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Ayr Utd

W 214D 192L 260
Over 2.548
Goals scored851

Away Record: Queen's Park

W 46D 39L 59
Over 2.554
Goals scored184

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026