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Arbroath vs Ayr Utd

1 August 2025 at 19:45Gayfield Park, Arbroath
11
Referee: Chris Graham

Match Summary

Arbroath and Ayr Utd drew 1:1. The match was played in Championship 2025.

Rivalry since 2017

Arbroath vs Ayr Utd Head to Head Results· 25

Arbroath and Ayr Utd have met 25 times — Arbroath won 8, Ayr Utd won 8, with 9 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2017. A combined 61 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.44 per match (26 for the home side, 35 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 12 matches (48%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 games (44%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Ayr Utd are currently unbeaten in the last 7 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–0 in 2024.

Drawn
9
·
8
wins
Total goals
61 · 2.4/match
Both scored
12/25 · 48%
Over 2.5
11/25 · 44%

Recent Meetings

11/04/26Championship
Match Details
03/03/26Championship
Match Details
15/11/25Championship
Match Details
19/07/25League Cup
Match Details
13/04/24Championship
Match Details
23/01/24Championship
Match Details
13/01/24Championship
Match Details
02/09/23Championship
Match Details
31/03/23Championship
Match Details
14/01/23Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 50 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Arbroath have recorded 1 win, 3 draws and 2 defeats. Ayr Utd show 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Arbroath

DLDDWL

Ayr Utd

LLLWLD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Arbroath1wins
5draws10 meetings
Ayr Utd4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.9

Average goals per game

20%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Market Summary

Margin: 7.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 25.3%Draw 25.2%Away 56.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.903.801.75
Max4.014.151.78
Over 2.5: 54.6%Under 2.5: 50.5%
Market favourite:Ayr Utd · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market23.7%22.9%53.4%
Public market23.5%24.1%52.4%
Δ0.2%1.2%1.0%

Arbroath vs Ayr Utd — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Ayr Utd (57%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

ArbroathHalf-time:01Ayr Utd
11Shots3
4Shots on target1

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

11 Apr 202625/262.25/3.00/2.88
3 Mar 202625/262.35/3.25/2.80
15 Nov 202525/261.65/3.50/4.50
1 Aug 202525/263.96/3.98/1.77
13 Apr 202423/241.41/4.32/6.66
23 Jan 202423/241.62/3.89/4.83
13 Jan 202423/242.89/3.76/2.13
2 Sept 202323/242.68/3.07/2.65
29 Oct 202222/232.96/3.19/2.32
30 Jul 202222/232.66/3.09/2.64

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Arbroath

W 76D 75L 118
Over 2.548
Goals scored285

Away Record: Ayr Utd

W 214D 192L 260
Over 2.548
Goals scored851

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026