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Preston vs Derby

17 January 2026 at 15:00Deepdale, Preston
01
Away

Derby

Referee: Farai Hallam

Match Events

Kick Off
Half Time
J. LewisT. Small
58′
M. OsmajicD. Jebbison
67′
B. PottsP. Valentin
68′
72′
R. BrewsterO. Fraulo
A. McCannM. Smith
79′
82′
P. Agyemang

assist: B. Brereton Diaz

89′
B. ClarkA. Weimann
89′
P. AgyemangL. Salvesen
Full Time

Match Statistics

Preston had 51% possession against Derby's 49%. Preston registered 13 shots (2 on target) while Derby managed 18 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 5–10. Fouls committed: 7–12.

Shots on Goal
2
4
Shots Off Goal
8
8
Total Shots
13
18
Blocked Shots
3
6
Shots inside the Box
6
13
Shots outside the Box
7
5
Fouls
7
12
Corner Kicks
5
10
Offsides
0
2
Ball Possession
51%
49%
Yellow Cards
2
5
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4
2
Total Passes
364
338
Accurate Passes
269
238
Pass Accuracy
74%
70%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
1.76
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0.46
0.46

Match Summary

Derby defeated Preston 1:0. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by P. Agyemang 82′. 7 yellow cards were shown. Preston had 51% possession while Derby held 49%. Preston had 13 shots (2 on target) compared to 18 (4 on target) for Derby. Expected goals: Preston 0.99 — Derby 1.76. Preston made 5 substitutions, Derby made 4.

Rivalry since 2015

Preston vs Derby Head to Head Results· 18

4
wins
Drawn
5
·
9
wins
Total goals
25 · 1.4/match
Both scored
4/18 · 22%
Over 2.5
3/18 · 17%

Recent Meetings

20/09/25Championship
Match Details
02/04/25Championship
Match Details
23/11/24Championship
Match Details
02/04/22Championship
Match Details
16/10/21Championship
Match Details
20/04/21Championship
Match Details
26/12/20Championship
Match Details
15/09/20League Cup
Match Details
01/07/20Championship
Match Details
23/11/19Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 30 v 2021

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

Preston

LWLLWD

Derby

LWLWLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Preston3wins
2draws10 meetings
Derby5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.3

Average goals per game

10%

Games with 3+ goals

10%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (42%) — the odds may underestimate Derby.

Market Summary

Margin: 7.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 45.5%Draw 32.3%Away 29.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.203.103.40
Max2.203.103.40
Over 2.5: 42.0%Under 2.5: 63.7%
Market favourite:Preston · Slight favourite

Result vs. Market

Derby
Result vs. Market: Preston (45%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

PrestonHalf-time:00Derby
13Shots18
2Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

17 Jan 202625/262.20/3.10/3.40
20 Sept 202525/262.33/3.10/3.19
2 Apr 202524/252.26/3.00/3.61
23 Nov 202424/252.23/3.25/3.40
2 Apr 202221/222.66/3.07/2.87
16 Oct 202121/222.04/3.20/4.09
20 Apr 202120/212.90/3.15/2.59
26 Dec 202020/212.41/3.22/3.09
1 Jul 202019/202.45/3.36/2.96
23 Nov 201919/202.86/3.26/2.59

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Preston

W 300D 240L 288
Over 2.548
Goals scored1015

Away Record: Derby

W 333D 233L 308
Over 2.548
Goals scored1153

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026