Championship· Season 2025
Match Events
assist: M. Bola
Match Statistics
Watford had 45% possession against Derby's 55%. Watford registered 18 shots (8 on target) while Derby managed 5 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 2–2. Fouls committed: 13–11.
Match Summary
Watford defeated Derby 2:0. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by L. Kjerrumgaard 5′, M. Doumbia 90′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Watford had 45% possession while Derby held 55%. Watford had 18 shots (8 on target) compared to 5 (1 on target) for Derby. Expected goals: Watford 1.30 — Derby 0.54. Watford made 5 substitutions, Derby made 5.
Recent Meetings
Recent Form
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Watford dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.4
Average goals per game
70%
Games with 3+ goals
70%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (44%) — the odds may underestimate Watford.
Market Summary
Margin: 7.3%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| Max | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Data: football-data.co.uk
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
API data: 12 May 2026