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Watford vs Wrexham

17 March 2026 at 19:45Vicarage Road, Watford
31
Referee: Adam Herczeg

Match Summary

Watford defeated Wrexham 3:1. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by M. Bola 18′, E. Kayembe 38′, M. Cleworth 49′, E. Bove 90′. 2 yellow cards were shown. Watford had 43% possession while Wrexham held 57%. Watford had 13 shots (6 on target) compared to 8 (1 on target) for Wrexham. Expected goals: Watford 1.97 — Wrexham 0.35. Watford made 5 substitutions, Wrexham made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Watford and Wrexham — 4 goals and 2 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Half Time
46′
N. BroadheadJ. Windass
64′
O. RathboneD. Keillor-Dunn
64′
R. LongmanI. Kabore
P. EkwahN. Mendy
71′
N. IrankundaM. Doumbia
72′
75′
S. SmithB. Cadamarteri
G. ChakvetadzeF. Mendy
83′
88′
Z. VynerJ. Rodriguez
J. AbankwahK. Keben
90+1′
90′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Watford had 43% possession against Wrexham's 57%. Watford registered 13 shots (6 on target) while Wrexham managed 8 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 3–5. Fouls committed: 13–7.

Shots on Goal
6
1
Shots Off Goal
7
3
Total Shots
13
8
Blocked Shots
0
4
Shots inside the Box
10
6
Shots outside the Box
3
2
Fouls
13
7
Corner Kicks
3
5
Offsides
0
0
Ball Possession
43%
57%
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
0
3
Total Passes
413
529
Accurate Passes
327
441
Pass Accuracy
79%
83%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
0.35
Goals Prevented (xGP)
-0.96
-0.96

Rivalry since 2025

Watford vs Wrexham Head to Head Results· 1

Watford and Wrexham have met 1 times — Watford won 0, Wrexham won 0, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. A combined 4 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 4.00 per match (2 for the home side, 2 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 match (100%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 game (100%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–2 in 2025.

0
wins
Drawn
1
·
0
wins
Total goals
4 · 4.0/match
Both scored
1/1 · 100%
Over 2.5
1/1 · 100%

Recent Meetings

13/12/25Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 22 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Watford have recorded 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats. Wrexham show 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Watford

LLLLLD

Wrexham

DLWWLL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Watford1wins
1draws2 meetings
Wrexham0wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

4

Average goals per game

100%

Games with 3+ goals

100%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (42%) — the odds may underestimate Watford.

Market Summary

Margin: 8.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 45.5%Draw 29.4%Away 33.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.203.403.00
Max2.203.403.00
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 57.8%
Market favourite:Watford · Slight favourite

Result vs. Market

Watford
Result vs. Market: Watford (45%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

WatfordHalf-time:20Wrexham
13Shots8
6Shots on target1

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

17 Mar 202625/262.20/3.40/3.00
13 Dec 202525/262.55/3.23/2.75

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Watford

W 265D 195L 230
Over 2.553
Goals scored989

Away Record: Wrexham

W 19D 14L 13
Over 2.550
Goals scored69

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026