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Millwall vs QPR

18 April 2026 at 12:30The Den, London
20
Away

QPR

Referee: Tom Nield

Match Summary

Millwall defeated QPR 2:0. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by D. Mazou-Sacko 3′, C. Neghli 17′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Millwall had 43% possession while QPR held 57%. Millwall had 11 shots (4 on target) compared to 5 (1 on target) for QPR. Expected goals: Millwall 1.53 — QPR 0.14. Millwall made 5 substitutions, QPR made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Millwall and QPR — 2 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Half Time
46′
46′
J. VaraneN. Madsen
46′
P. SmythR. Burrell
60′
K. PokuI. Chair
C. De NorreM. Langstaff
70′
T. BalloT. Watson
70′
F. AzeezL. Cundle
86′
J. CoburnM. Ivanovic
86′
D. Mazou-SackoB. Bannan
90′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Millwall had 43% possession against QPR's 57%. Millwall registered 11 shots (4 on target) while QPR managed 5 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 6–10. Fouls committed: 6–14.

Shots on Goal
4
1
Shots Off Goal
5
4
Total Shots
11
5
Blocked Shots
2
0
Shots inside the Box
8
2
Shots outside the Box
3
3
Fouls
6
14
Corner Kicks
6
10
Offsides
4
1
Ball Possession
43%
57%
Yellow Cards
1
3
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
1
2
Total Passes
302
416
Accurate Passes
210
315
Pass Accuracy
70%
76%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
0.14
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0.30
0.30

Rivalry since 2013

Millwall vs QPR Head to Head Results· 19

Millwall and QPR have met 19 times — Millwall won 6, QPR won 6, with 7 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2013. A combined 51 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.68 per match (25 for the home side, 26 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 12 matches (63%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 games (42%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Millwall are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–3 in 2020.

Drawn
7
·
6
wins
Total goals
51 · 2.7/match
Both scored
12/19 · 63%
Over 2.5
8/19 · 42%

Recent Meetings

18/10/25Championship
Match Details
01/02/25Championship
Match Details
21/09/24Championship
Match Details
20/01/24Championship
Match Details
26/12/23Championship
Match Details
11/02/23Championship
Match Details
14/09/22Championship
Match Details
15/02/22Championship
Match Details
07/08/21Championship
Match Details
17/03/21Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 43 v 2020

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Millwall have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. QPR show 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Millwall

LDWDWW

QPR

LLLLDD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Millwall dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Millwall6wins
2draws10 meetings
QPR2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

30%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (56%) — the odds may underestimate Millwall.

Market Summary

Margin: 9.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 61.7%Draw 26.7%Away 21.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.623.754.75
Max1.623.754.75
Over 2.5: 54.1%Under 2.5: 50.0%
Market favourite:Millwall · Moderate favourite

Result vs. Market

Millwall
Result vs. Market: Millwall (62%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MillwallHalf-time:20QPR
11Shots5
4Shots on target1

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

18 Apr 202625/261.62/3.75/4.75
18 Oct 202525/262.63/2.99/2.86
1 Feb 202524/252.25/3.02/3.53
21 Sept 202424/252.35/3.29/3.16
20 Jan 202423/242.50/3.16/2.94
26 Dec 202323/242.15/3.21/3.66
11 Feb 202322/232.68/3.14/2.79
14 Sept 202222/232.31/3.23/3.25
15 Feb 202221/222.47/3.14/3.10
7 Aug 202121/222.09/3.34/3.65

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Millwall

W 250D 216L 270
Over 2.541
Goals scored816

Away Record: QPR

W 303D 232L 339
Over 2.549
Goals scored1055

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026