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Bolton vs Watford

14 February 2015 at 15:00Macron Stadium, Bolton
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Bolton

34
Referee: Geoff Eltringham

Match Summary

Watford defeated Bolton 4:3. The match was played in Championship 2014.

Rivalry since 2012

Bolton vs Watford Head to Head Results· 6

Bolton and Watford have met 6 times — Bolton won 4, Watford won 2, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. Bolton leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 6 meetings. A combined 14 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.33 per match (8 for the home side, 6 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (33%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–0 in 2014.

4
wins
Drawn
0
·
2
wins
Total goals
14 · 2.3/match
Both scored
2/6 · 33%
Over 2.5
3/6 · 50%

Recent Meetings

12/07/22Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
09/08/14Championship
Match Details
22/02/14Championship
Match Details
23/11/13Championship
Match Details
02/02/13Championship
Match Details
15/09/12Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 30 v 2014

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Bolton have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Watford show 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from their last 6 outings.

Bolton

WWWLDD

Watford

LLLLLD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.2

Average goals per game

67%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

3
wins
draws
0
6 meetings
3
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (67%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (32%) — the odds may underestimate Bolton.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

8 Sept 201414/152.08/3.53/3.68
14/02/1514/153.18/3.47/2.32
23/11/1313/141.98/3.56/4.02
22/02/1413/142.49/3.33/2.98
15/09/1212/131.86/3.51/4.37
2 Feb 201312/132.17/3.51/3.43

Market Summary

Margin: 3.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 31.5%Draw 28.8%Away 43.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.083.202.30
Max3.253.602.37
Market favourite:Watford · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market31.7%27.1%41.2%
Public market30.2%27.2%42.6%
Δ1.5%0.1%1.4%

Bolton vs Watford — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Watford
Result vs. Market: Watford (43%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BoltonHalf-time:21Watford
19Shots20
9Shots on target12

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Bolton

W 68D 79L 129
Over 2.548
Goals scored291

Away Record: Watford

W 265D 195L 230
Over 2.553
Goals scored989

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026