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Burton Albion vs Birmingham

21 October 2016 at 19:45Pirelli Stadium, Burton upon Trent
Referee: Tim Robinson

Match Summary

Burton Albion defeated Birmingham 2:0. The match was played in Championship 2016.

Rivalry since 2017

Burton Albion vs Birmingham Head to Head Results· 8

Burton Albion and Birmingham have met 8 times — Burton Albion won 3, Birmingham won 4, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2017. Birmingham leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 8 meetings. A combined 17 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.13 per match (8 for the home side, 9 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 4 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (38%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–2 in 2025.

Drawn
1
·
Total goals
17 · 2.1/match
Both scored
4/8 · 50%
Over 2.5
3/8 · 38%

Recent Meetings

19/07/25Friendlies Clubs
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21/04/25League One
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26/12/24League One
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16/07/22Friendlies Clubs
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07/04/18Championship
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06/01/18FA Cup
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18/08/17Championship
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17/04/17Championship
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Highest-scoring game: 12 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Burton Albion have recorded 1 win, 5 draws and 0 defeats. Birmingham show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Burton Albion dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Burton Albion3wins
1draws4 meetings
Birmingham0wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

25%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (33%) — the odds may underestimate Burton Albion.

Market Summary

Margin: 2.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 34.7%Draw 31.0%Away 37.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.803.192.60
Max2.973.252.75
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market33.0%30.8%36.2%
Public market34.7%29.9%35.4%
Δ1.7%0.8%0.8%

Burton Albion vs Birmingham — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Burton Albion
Result vs. Market: Birmingham (37%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Burton AlbionHalf-time:10Birmingham
15Shots7
5Shots on target1

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

18/08/1717/182.94/3.18/2.63
4 Jul 201817/181.79/3.49/5.26
21/10/1616/172.88/3.23/2.69
17/04/1716/172.23/3.36/3.43

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Burton Albion

W 23D 24L 45
Over 2.547
Goals scored87

Away Record: Birmingham

W 247D 211L 278
Over 2.544
Goals scored869

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026