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Burton Albion vs Rotherham

3 December 2016 at 15:00Pirelli Stadium, Burton upon Trent

Match Summary

Burton Albion defeated Rotherham 2:1. The match was played in Championship 2016.

Rivalry since 2011

Burton Albion vs Rotherham Head to Head Results· 13

Burton Albion and Rotherham have met 13 times — Burton Albion won 6, Rotherham won 4, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Burton Albion leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 13 meetings. A combined 38 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.92 per match (20 for the home side, 18 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (54%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (54%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Burton Albion are currently unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–2 in 2025.

Drawn
3
·
Total goals
38 · 2.9/match
Both scored
7/13 · 54%
Over 2.5
7/13 · 54%

Recent Meetings

17/02/26League One
Match Details
04/11/25League One
Match Details
25/01/25League One
Match Details
14/09/24League One
Match Details
19/04/22League One
Match Details
11/12/21League One
Match Details
01/02/20League One
Match Details
17/08/19League One
Match Details
29/12/16Championship
Match Details
09/02/13League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 42 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Burton Albion have recorded 1 win, 5 draws and 0 defeats. Rotherham show 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3

Average goals per game

100%

Games with 3+ goals

100%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Burton Albion dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
0
2 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (55%) — the odds may underestimate Burton Albion.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

12 Mar 201616/171.79/3.80/4.83
29/12/1616/172.96/3.34/2.43

Market Summary

Margin: 3.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 56.0%Draw 26.3%Away 20.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.763.754.50
Max1.803.895.00
Market favourite:Burton Albion · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market55.4%25.1%19.6%
Public market54.3%26.1%19.6%
Δ1.0%1.0%

Burton Albion vs Rotherham — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Burton Albion
Result vs. Market: Burton Albion (56%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Burton AlbionHalf-time:10Rotherham
16Shots14
4Shots on target2

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Burton Albion

W 23D 24L 45
Over 2.547
Goals scored87

Away Record: Rotherham

W 69D 102L 197
Over 2.549
Goals scored356

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026