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Aston Villa vs QPR

4 April 2017 at 19:45Villa Park, Birmingham
10
Away

QPR

Referee: Peter Bankes

Match Summary

Aston Villa defeated QPR 1:0. The match was played in Championship 2016.

Rivalry since 2011

Aston Villa vs QPR Head to Head Results· 11

Drawn
5
·
3
wins
Total goals
34 · 3.1/match
Both scored
8/11 · 73%
Over 2.5
6/11 · 55%

Recent Meetings

01/01/19Championship
Match Details
26/10/18Championship
Match Details
13/03/18Championship
Match Details
18/11/17Championship
Match Details
18/12/16Championship
Match Details
07/04/15Premier League
Match Details
27/10/14Premier League
Match Details
16/03/13Premier League
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01/12/12Premier League
Match Details
01/02/12Premier League
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Highest-scoring game: 33 v 2015

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

QPR

LLLLDD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Aston Villa3wins
1draws6 meetings
QPR2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (33%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (55%) — the odds may underestimate QPR.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 55.8%Draw 28.2%Away 19.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.783.505.00
Max1.803.605.39
Market favourite:Aston Villa · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market54.6%27.4%18.0%
Public market54.3%27.1%18.6%

Aston Villa vs QPR — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Aston Villa
Result vs. Market: Aston Villa (56%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Aston VillaHalf-time:10QPR
13Shots13
2Shots on target1

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

1 Jan 201918/191.84/3.75/4.45
26 Oct 201818/192.60/3.31/2.87
18/11/1717/182.71/3.28/2.74
13/03/1817/181.60/3.85/6.53
18/12/1616/173.47/3.23/2.31
4 Apr 201716/171.79/3.55/5.21

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Aston Villa

W 60D 41L 37
Over 2.546
Goals scored201

Away Record: QPR

W 303D 232L 339
Over 2.549
Goals scored1055

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026