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Cardiff vs Nottingham Forest

17 April 2017 at 15:00Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff
Referee: Andy Madley

Match Summary

Cardiff defeated Nottingham Forest 1:0. The match was played in Championship 2016.

Rivalry since 2011

Cardiff vs Nottingham Forest Head to Head Results· 18

13
wins
Drawn
1
·
Total goals
40 · 2.2/match
Both scored
9/18 · 50%
Over 2.5
9/18 · 50%

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Highest-scoring game: 31 v 2012

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Cardiff dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Cardiff8wins
0draws10 meetings
Nottingham Forest2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (42%) — the odds may underestimate Cardiff.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 43.8%Draw 28.7%Away 31.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.253.443.00
Max2.303.503.33
Market favourite:Cardiff · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market42.4%28.3%29.3%
Public market42.3%27.8%29.9%

Cardiff vs Nottingham Forest — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Cardiff
Result vs. Market: Cardiff (44%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CardiffHalf-time:00Nottingham Forest
15Shots23
2Shots on target1

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

30 Jan 202221/222.82/3.22/2.60
12 Sept 202121/223.00/3.07/2.58
2 Apr 202120/212.24/3.10/3.57
19 Sept 202020/212.57/3.17/2.89
25 Feb 202019/202.40/3.20/3.19
30 Nov 201919/202.26/3.33/3.32
26/11/1717/182.68/3.38/2.72
21/04/1817/181.51/4.27/7.22
22/10/1616/172.45/3.50/2.97
17/04/1716/172.28/3.48/3.19

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Cardiff

W 340D 245L 289
Over 2.547
Goals scored1142

Away Record: Nottingham Forest

W 238D 205L 247
Over 2.545
Goals scored860

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026