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Millwall vs Bolton

12 August 2017 at 15:00The Den, London
11
Away

Bolton

Referee: Andy Davies

Match Summary

Millwall and Bolton drew 1:1. The match was played in Championship 2017.

Rivalry since 2012

Millwall vs Bolton Head to Head Results· 12

Millwall and Bolton have met 12 times — Millwall won 2, Bolton won 7, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. Bolton leads the head-to-head with 7 victories from 12 meetings. A combined 27 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.25 per match (9 for the home side, 18 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 6 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (25%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–1 in 2013.

Drawn
3
·
7
wins
Total goals
27 · 2.3/match
Both scored
6/12 · 50%
Over 2.5
3/12 · 25%

Recent Meetings

09/03/19Championship
Match Details
24/11/18Championship
Match Details
10/04/18Championship
Match Details
19/11/16League One
Match Details
18/10/16League One
Match Details
14/03/15Championship
Match Details
19/12/14Championship
Match Details
15/02/14Championship
Match Details
09/11/13Championship
Match Details
12/01/13Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 31 v 2013

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Millwall have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Bolton show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Millwall

LDWDWW

Bolton

WWWLDD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Millwall2wins
4draws10 meetings
Bolton4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

30%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (48%) — the odds may underestimate Bolton.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 49.0%Draw 29.4%Away 25.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.003.303.80
Max2.103.494.10
Market favourite:Millwall · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market48.3%27.9%23.8%
Public market46.7%28.8%24.5%
Δ1.6%0.9%0.7%

Millwall vs Bolton — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Millwall (49%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MillwallHalf-time:00Bolton
14Shots5
8Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

9 Mar 201918/194.35/3.47/1.95
24 Nov 201818/191.60/3.98/6.41
8 Dec 201717/182.04/3.40/3.97
4 Oct 201817/184.12/3.39/2.01
19/12/1414/152.14/3.36/3.68
14/03/1514/152.08/3.49/3.74
11 Sept 201313/141.99/3.47/4.05
15/02/1413/142.74/3.30/2.73
10 Jun 201212/132.82/3.30/2.56
1 Dec 201312/132.05/3.56/3.75

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Millwall

W 250D 216L 270
Over 2.541
Goals scored816

Away Record: Bolton

W 68D 79L 129
Over 2.548
Goals scored291

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026