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Millwall vs Birmingham

21 October 2017 at 17:30The Den, London
20
Referee: Simon Hooper

Match Summary

Millwall defeated Birmingham 2:0. The match was played in Championship 2017.

Rivalry since 2011

Millwall vs Birmingham Head to Head Results· 23

Drawn
8
·
Total goals
59 · 2.6/match
Both scored
8/23 · 35%
Over 2.5
10/23 · 43%

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02/09/23Championship
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02/11/22Championship
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23/04/22Championship
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04/12/21Championship
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17/02/21Championship
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28/11/20Championship
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Highest-scoring game: 33 v 2012

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

Millwall

LDWDWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Millwall4wins
4draws10 meetings
Birmingham2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.1

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

30%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (44%) — the odds may underestimate Millwall.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 44.8%Draw 29.9%Away 28.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.203.203.20
Max2.303.433.60
Market favourite:Millwall · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market44.3%28.4%27.2%
Public market44.2%28.7%27.0%

Millwall vs Birmingham — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Millwall
Result vs. Market: Millwall (45%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MillwallHalf-time:00Birmingham
14Shots16
3Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

25 Feb 202625/262.40/3.30/2.82
4 Nov 202525/261.81/3.40/4.20
9 Mar 202423/242.21/3.21/3.46
2 Sept 202323/242.39/3.10/3.09
18 Apr 202322/231.73/3.51/5.33
2 Nov 202222/232.54/3.14/2.96
23 Apr 202221/223.35/3.31/2.22
4 Dec 202121/222.16/3.18/3.64
17 Feb 202120/212.15/3.03/3.99
28 Nov 202020/212.96/3.02/2.65

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Millwall

W 250D 216L 270
Over 2.541
Goals scored816

Away Record: Birmingham

W 247D 211L 278
Over 2.544
Goals scored869

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026