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Nottingham Forest vs Burton Albion

21 October 2017 at 15:00City Ground, Nottingham
Referee: Keith Stroud

Match Summary

Nottingham Forest defeated Burton Albion 2:0. The match was played in Championship 2017.

Rivalry since 2016

Nottingham Forest vs Burton Albion Head to Head Results· 5

Nottingham Forest and Burton Albion have met 5 times — Nottingham Forest won 2, Burton Albion won 2, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. A combined 14 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.80 per match (7 for the home side, 7 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (40%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (40%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–3 in 2016.

Total goals
14 · 2.8/match
Both scored
2/5 · 40%
Over 2.5
2/5 · 40%

Recent Meetings

12/07/22Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
30/10/18League Cup
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 43 v 2016

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Nottingham Forest have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Burton Albion show 1 win, 5 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Nottingham Forest2wins
1draws4 meetings
Burton Albion1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

25%

Games with 3+ goals

25%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (55%) — the odds may underestimate Nottingham Forest.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 55.8%Draw 26.8%Away 21.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.783.504.50
Max1.803.904.86
Market favourite:Nottingham Forest · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market54.9%25.0%20.1%
Public market53.9%25.6%20.4%

Nottingham Forest vs Burton Albion — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Nottingham Forest
Result vs. Market: Nottingham Forest (56%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Nottingham ForestHalf-time:00Burton Albion
13Shots10
6Shots on target1

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

21/10/1717/181.79/3.73/4.70
17/02/1817/183.24/3.19/2.42
8 Jun 201616/172.02/3.34/4.11
3 Nov 201716/172.38/3.26/3.31

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Nottingham Forest

W 238D 205L 247
Over 2.545
Goals scored860

Away Record: Burton Albion

W 23D 24L 45
Over 2.547
Goals scored87

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026