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Birmingham vs Middlesbrough

6 March 2018 at 19:45St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham
Referee: Stephen Martin

Match Summary

Middlesbrough defeated Birmingham 1:0. The match was played in Championship 2017.

Rivalry since 2011

Birmingham vs Middlesbrough Head to Head Results· 25

Drawn
5
·
Total goals
64 · 2.6/match
Both scored
13/25 · 52%
Over 2.5
12/25 · 48%

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Highest-scoring game: 14 v 2020

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Middlesbrough dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Birmingham2wins
0draws10 meetings
Middlesbrough8wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.4

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (22%) — the odds may underestimate Middlesbrough.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 23.8%Draw 31.2%Away 49.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min4.003.142.00
Max4.413.292.08
Market favourite:Middlesbrough · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market22.1%31.0%46.9%
Public market23.1%29.4%47.5%
Δ1.0%1.6%0.6%

Birmingham vs Middlesbrough — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Middlesbrough
Result vs. Market: Middlesbrough (49%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BirminghamHalf-time:01Middlesbrough
9Shots8
2Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

2 Mar 202625/262.40/3.60/2.57
8 Nov 202525/262.55/3.25/2.65
12 Mar 202423/242.85/3.54/2.41
21 Oct 202323/241.76/3.75/4.55
2 Jan 202322/233.11/3.35/2.33
5 Oct 202222/231.66/3.70/5.69
15 Mar 202221/223.68/3.34/2.07
30 Oct 202121/222.15/3.25/3.59
16 Jan 202120/211.83/3.40/4.90
19 Dec 202020/213.32/3.07/2.38

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Birmingham

W 247D 211L 278
Over 2.544
Goals scored869

Away Record: Middlesbrough

W 311D 182L 243
Over 2.547
Goals scored1001

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026