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Bolton vs Aston Villa

17 March 2018 at 17:30University of Bolton Stadium, Horwich
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Bolton

10
Referee: Robert Jones

Match Summary

Bolton defeated Aston Villa 1:0. The match was played in Championship 2017.

Rivalry since 2010

Bolton vs Aston Villa Head to Head Results· 9

Bolton and Aston Villa have met 9 times — Bolton won 3, Aston Villa won 5, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Aston Villa leads the head-to-head with 5 victories from 9 meetings. A combined 25 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.78 per match (10 for the home side, 15 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (56%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (44%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Aston Villa are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–4 in 2022.

3
wins
Drawn
1
·
Total goals
25 · 2.8/match
Both scored
5/9 · 56%
Over 2.5
4/9 · 44%

Recent Meetings

23/08/22League Cup
Match Details
19/04/19Championship
Match Details
02/11/18Championship
Match Details
30/09/17Championship
Match Details
24/04/12Premier League
Match Details
10/12/11Premier League
Match Details
20/09/11League Cup
Match Details
05/03/11Premier League
Match Details
18/09/10Premier League
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 14 v 2022

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Bolton have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Aston Villa show 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Bolton

WWWLDD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.5

Average goals per game

0%

Games with 3+ goals

0%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Aston Villa dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

1
wins
draws
0
4 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (19%) — the odds may underestimate Bolton.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

19 Apr 201918/198.68/5.33/1.36
Match Details
2 Nov 201818/191.44/4.54/7.87
Match Details
30/09/1717/181.37/4.73/9.26
17/03/1817/184.92/3.42/1.82

Market Summary

Margin: 4.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 20.3%Draw 29.2%Away 55.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min4.753.251.75
Max5.013.521.85
Market favourite:Aston Villa · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market19.5%27.7%52.8%
Public market19.5%27.8%52.7%

Bolton vs Aston Villa — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Bolton
Result vs. Market: Aston Villa (55%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BoltonHalf-time:10Aston Villa
11Shots11
3Shots on target3

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Bolton

W 68D 79L 129
Over 2.548
Goals scored291

Away Record: Aston Villa

W 60D 41L 37
Over 2.546
Goals scored201

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026