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Bolton vs Millwall

10 April 2018 at 20:00University of Bolton Stadium, Horwich
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Bolton

02
Referee: Robert Jones

Match Summary

Millwall defeated Bolton 2:0. The match was played in Championship 2017.

Rivalry since 2012

Bolton vs Millwall Head to Head Results· 12

Bolton and Millwall have met 12 times — Bolton won 7, Millwall won 1, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. Bolton leads the head-to-head with 7 victories from 12 meetings. A combined 27 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.25 per match (19 for the home side, 8 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (58%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (25%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Bolton are currently unbeaten in the last 10 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–1 in 2013.

7
wins
Drawn
4
·
Total goals
27 · 2.3/match
Both scored
7/12 · 58%
Over 2.5
3/12 · 25%

Recent Meetings

09/03/19Championship
Match Details
24/11/18Championship
Match Details
12/08/17Championship
Match Details
19/11/16League One
Match Details
18/10/16League One
Match Details
14/03/15Championship
Match Details
19/12/14Championship
Match Details
15/02/14Championship
Match Details
09/11/13Championship
Match Details
12/01/13Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 31 v 2013

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Bolton have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Millwall show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Bolton

WWWLDD

Millwall

LDWDWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Bolton4wins
4draws10 meetings
Millwall2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

30%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (24%) — the odds may underestimate Bolton.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 24.3%Draw 29.5%Away 49.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min4.003.252.00
Max4.203.502.03
Market favourite:Millwall · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market23.5%28.4%48.1%
Public market23.3%27.9%48.8%

Bolton vs Millwall — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Millwall
Result vs. Market: Millwall (50%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BoltonHalf-time:01Millwall
13Shots13
3Shots on target6

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

9 Mar 201918/194.35/3.47/1.95
24 Nov 201818/191.60/3.98/6.41
8 Dec 201717/182.04/3.40/3.97
4 Oct 201817/184.12/3.39/2.01
19/12/1414/152.14/3.36/3.68
14/03/1514/152.08/3.49/3.74
11 Sept 201313/141.99/3.47/4.05
15/02/1413/142.74/3.30/2.73
10 Jun 201212/132.82/3.30/2.56
1 Dec 201312/132.05/3.56/3.75

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Bolton

W 68D 79L 129
Over 2.548
Goals scored291

Away Record: Millwall

W 250D 216L 270
Over 2.541
Goals scored816

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026