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Bolton vs Nottingham Forest

6 May 2018 at 12:30University of Bolton Stadium, Horwich
Referee: Scott Duncan

Match Summary

Bolton defeated Nottingham Forest 3:2. The match was played in Championship 2017.

Rivalry since 2012

Bolton vs Nottingham Forest Head to Head Results· 11

Bolton and Nottingham Forest have met 11 times — Bolton won 0, Nottingham Forest won 6, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. Nottingham Forest leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 11 meetings. A combined 34 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.09 per match (10 for the home side, 24 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (64%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (64%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Nottingham Forest are currently unbeaten in the last 11 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2017.

0
wins
Drawn
5
·
Total goals
34 · 3.1/match
Both scored
7/11 · 64%
Over 2.5
7/11 · 64%

Recent Meetings

05/05/19Championship
Match Details
24/10/18Championship
Match Details
09/12/17Championship
Match Details
16/01/16Championship
Match Details
22/08/15Championship
Match Details
21/02/15Championship
Match Details
16/08/14Championship
Match Details
11/01/14Championship
Match Details
17/08/13Championship
Match Details
16/02/13Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 32 v 2017

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Bolton have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Nottingham Forest show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.3

Average goals per game

70%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Nottingham Forest dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

1
wins
draws
3
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (51%) — the odds may underestimate Nottingham Forest.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

5 May 201918/191.30/5.00/10.00
Match Details
24 Oct 201818/193.53/3.23/2.27
Match Details
12 Sept 201717/181.83/3.78/4.45
5 Jun 201817/181.89/3.48/4.48
22/08/1515/162.47/3.33/3.02
16/01/1615/161.79/3.55/5.12
16/08/1414/152.71/3.29/2.74
21/02/1514/152.11/3.43/3.70
17/08/1313/142.22/3.36/3.37
1 Nov 201413/142.79/3.28/2.70

Market Summary

Margin: 4.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 53.0%Draw 28.7%Away 22.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.853.254.35
Max1.923.604.60
Market favourite:Bolton · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market50.6%27.0%22.4%
Public market51.4%27.0%21.6%

Bolton vs Nottingham Forest — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Bolton
Result vs. Market: Bolton (53%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BoltonHalf-time:00Nottingham Forest
24Shots12
9Shots on target4

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Bolton

W 68D 79L 129
Over 2.548
Goals scored291

Away Record: Nottingham Forest

W 238D 205L 247
Over 2.545
Goals scored860

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026