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Stoke City vs Birmingham

20 October 2018 at 15:00bet365 Stadium, Stoke
Referee: Roger East

Match Summary

Birmingham defeated Stoke City 1:0. The match was played in Championship 2018.

Rivalry since 2010

Stoke City vs Birmingham Head to Head Results· 15

Stoke City and Birmingham have met 15 times — Stoke City won 4, Birmingham won 6, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Birmingham leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 15 meetings. A combined 34 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.27 per match (16 for the home side, 18 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 8 matches (53%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (40%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2010.

Drawn
5
·
Total goals
34 · 2.3/match
Both scored
8/15 · 53%
Over 2.5
6/15 · 40%

Recent Meetings

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13/09/25Championship
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20/01/24Championship
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26/12/23Championship
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10/04/23Championship
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05/11/22Championship
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19/02/22Championship
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14/08/21Championship
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10/04/21Championship
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04/10/20Championship
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Highest-scoring game: 32 v 2010

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Stoke City have recorded 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats. Birmingham show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Stoke City2wins
5draws10 meetings
Birmingham3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.1

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (48%) — the odds may underestimate Birmingham.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 49.3%Draw 29.9%Away 24.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.003.304.00
Max2.053.404.21
Market favourite:Stoke City · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market47.5%29.3%23.1%
Public market47.9%28.8%23.3%

Stoke City vs Birmingham — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Birmingham
Result vs. Market: Stoke City (49%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Stoke CityHalf-time:00Birmingham
19Shots13
3Shots on target6

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

24 Jan 202625/261.81/3.60/4.00
13 Sept 202525/263.07/3.18/2.38
20 Jan 202423/241.92/3.50/4.03
26 Dec 202323/242.61/3.28/2.74
10 Apr 202322/233.27/3.21/2.31
5 Nov 202222/232.06/3.41/3.67
19 Feb 202221/221.79/3.61/4.69
14 Aug 202121/222.75/3.06/2.77
10 Apr 202120/212.94/3.01/2.65
4 Oct 202020/212.27/3.12/3.50

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Stoke City

W 189D 152L 211
Over 2.542
Goals scored635

Away Record: Birmingham

W 247D 211L 278
Over 2.544
Goals scored869

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026