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Norwich vs Derby

29 December 2018 at 15:00Carrow Road, Norwich
34
Away

Derby

Referee: David Webb

Match Summary

Derby defeated Norwich 4:3. The match was played in Championship 2018.

Rivalry since 2014

Norwich vs Derby Head to Head Results· 13

Norwich and Derby have met 13 times — Norwich won 4, Derby won 4, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2014. A combined 30 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.31 per match (16 for the home side, 14 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 8 matches (62%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 games (38%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–3 in 2024.

4
wins
Drawn
5
·
4
wins
Total goals
30 · 2.3/match
Both scored
8/13 · 62%
Over 2.5
5/13 · 38%

Recent Meetings

21/04/26Championship
Match Details
21/10/25Championship
Match Details
08/02/25Championship
Match Details
28/09/24Championship
Match Details
10/04/21Championship
Match Details
03/10/20Championship
Match Details
03/10/18Championship
Match Details
10/02/18Championship
Match Details
28/10/17Championship
Match Details
02/01/17Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 23 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Norwich have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Derby show 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Norwich

LDWWLW

Derby

LWLWLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Norwich3wins
3draws10 meetings
Derby4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (44%) — the odds may underestimate Derby.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 46.3%Draw 28.8%Away 29.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.103.403.30
Max2.233.523.40
Market favourite:Norwich · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market43.7%27.7%28.6%
Public market44.7%27.6%27.6%
Δ1.1%1.0%

Norwich vs Derby — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Derby
Result vs. Market: Norwich (46%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

NorwichHalf-time:22Derby
24Shots19
7Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

21 Apr 202625/261.96/3.50/3.60
21 Oct 202525/262.52/3.13/2.91
8 Feb 202524/251.70/3.82/4.82
28 Sept 202424/252.73/3.53/2.51
10 Apr 202120/214.92/3.76/1.73
3 Oct 202020/211.68/3.97/4.96
29 Dec 201818/192.16/3.47/3.37
3 Oct 201818/192.15/3.43/3.61
28/10/1717/182.13/3.37/3.71
2 Oct 201817/182.05/3.35/3.82

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Norwich

W 271D 155L 218
Over 2.553
Goals scored961

Away Record: Derby

W 333D 233L 308
Over 2.548
Goals scored1153

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026