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Swansea vs Birmingham

29 January 2019 at 19:45Liberty Stadium, Swansea
33
Referee: Stephen Martin

Match Summary

Swansea and Birmingham drew 3:3. The match was played in Championship 2018.

Rivalry since 2013

Swansea vs Birmingham Head to Head Results· 15

Swansea and Birmingham have met 15 times — Swansea won 3, Birmingham won 5, with 7 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2013. Birmingham leads the head-to-head with 5 victories from 15 meetings. A combined 38 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.53 per match (19 for the home side, 19 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 9 matches (60%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 games (53%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Birmingham are currently unbeaten in the last 10 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–4 in 2023.

3
wins
Drawn
7
·
Total goals
38 · 2.5/match
Both scored
9/15 · 60%
Over 2.5
8/15 · 53%

Recent Meetings

17/01/26Championship
Match Details
20/09/25Championship
Match Details
13/01/24Championship
Match Details
05/08/23Championship
Match Details
04/02/23Championship
Match Details
08/11/22Championship
Match Details
19/03/22Championship
Match Details
23/10/21Championship
Match Details
02/04/21Championship
Match Details
19/09/20Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 34 v 2023

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Swansea have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Birmingham show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Swansea

WDWLWD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Swansea0wins
6draws10 meetings
Birmingham4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.4

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (46%) — the odds may underestimate Birmingham.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 47.1%Draw 29.7%Away 26.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.103.303.70
Max2.153.413.85
Market favourite:Swansea · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market46.0%28.6%25.3%
Public market45.3%28.7%26.0%

Swansea vs Birmingham — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Swansea (47%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

SwanseaHalf-time:11Birmingham
16Shots9
7Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

17 Jan 202625/262.65/3.20/2.57
20 Sept 202525/261.85/3.30/4.47
13 Jan 202423/242.24/3.51/3.10
5 Aug 202323/241.83/3.55/4.19
4 Feb 202322/231.84/3.50/4.50
8 Nov 202222/232.67/3.22/2.75
19 Mar 202221/221.90/3.54/4.13
23 Oct 202121/222.50/3.03/3.14
2 Apr 202120/213.18/3.07/2.47
19 Sept 202020/212.06/3.17/4.01

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Swansea

W 200D 141L 165
Over 2.546
Goals scored648

Away Record: Birmingham

W 247D 211L 278
Over 2.544
Goals scored869

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026