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Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa

13 March 2019 at 19:45City Ground, Nottingham
Referee: Mike Dean

Match Summary

Aston Villa defeated Nottingham Forest 3:1. The match was played in Championship 2018.

Rivalry since 2016

Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa Head to Head Results· 15

Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa have met 15 times — Nottingham Forest won 4, Aston Villa won 7, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. Aston Villa leads the head-to-head with 7 victories from 15 meetings. A combined 50 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.33 per match (21 for the home side, 29 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 10 matches (67%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 games (60%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–5 in 2018.

Total goals
50 · 3.3/match
Both scored
10/15 · 67%
Over 2.5
9/15 · 60%

Recent Meetings

07/05/26UEFA Europa League
Match Details
30/04/26UEFA Europa League
Match Details
12/04/26Premier League
Match Details
03/01/26Premier League
Match Details
05/04/25Premier League
Match Details
14/12/24Premier League
Match Details
24/02/24Premier League
Match Details
05/11/23Premier League
Match Details
08/04/23Premier League
Match Details
10/10/22Premier League
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 55 v 2018

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Nottingham Forest have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Aston Villa show 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Nottingham Forest1wins
2draws6 meetings
Aston Villa3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

4.2

Average goals per game

83%

Games with 3+ goals

83%

Both teams scored

Market Summary

Margin: 3.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 39.2%Draw 28.9%Away 35.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.503.402.80
Max2.613.502.87
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market37.4%28.0%34.6%
Public market38.2%27.8%34.0%

Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Aston Villa
Result vs. Market: Nottingham Forest (39%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Nottingham ForestHalf-time:12Aston Villa
14Shots11
2Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

13 Mar 201918/192.55/3.46/2.83
28 Nov 201818/191.92/3.46/4.46
23/09/1717/181.75/3.63/5.27
13/01/1817/183.03/3.25/2.51
9 Nov 201616/171.75/3.67/5.12
2 Apr 201716/172.97/3.22/2.63

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Nottingham Forest

W 238D 205L 247
Over 2.545
Goals scored860

Away Record: Aston Villa

W 60D 41L 37
Over 2.546
Goals scored201

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026