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Derby vs Rotherham

30 March 2019 at 15:00Pride Park Stadium, Derby
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Derby

61
Referee: Tim Robinson

Match Summary

Derby defeated Rotherham 6:1. The match was played in Championship 2018.

Rivalry since 2014

Derby vs Rotherham Head to Head Results· 9

Derby and Rotherham have met 9 times — Derby won 3, Rotherham won 3, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2014. A combined 26 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.89 per match (14 for the home side, 12 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (33%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 games (56%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Rotherham are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2016.

3
wins
Drawn
3
·
Total goals
26 · 2.9/match
Both scored
3/9 · 33%
Over 2.5
5/9 · 56%

Recent Meetings

03/02/21Championship
Match Details
16/01/21Championship
Match Details
15/09/18Championship
Match Details
07/05/17Championship
Match Details
19/11/16Championship
Match Details
12/03/16Championship
Match Details
31/10/15Championship
Match Details
17/02/15Championship
Match Details
09/08/14Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 33 v 2016

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Derby have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats. Rotherham show 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Derby

LWLWLW

Rotherham

LDLWLL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Derby4wins
3draws10 meetings
Rotherham3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.3

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (58%) — the odds may underestimate Derby.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 59.3%Draw 26.6%Away 17.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.673.705.50
Max1.703.805.79
Market favourite:Derby · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market57.5%25.7%16.8%
Public market57.4%25.7%17.0%

Derby vs Rotherham — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Derby
Result vs. Market: Derby (59%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

DerbyHalf-time:30Rotherham
15Shots8
7Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

3 Feb 202120/212.91/3.18/2.58
16 Jan 202120/211.95/3.43/4.14
30 Mar 201918/191.69/3.76/5.68
15 Sept 201818/193.70/3.32/2.15
19/11/1616/171.45/4.70/7.68
5 Jul 201716/175.10/3.76/1.73
31/10/1515/161.45/4.56/7.82
3 Dec 201615/163.88/3.36/2.09
8 Sept 201414/151.57/4.21/6.08
17/02/1514/153.79/3.51/2.05

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Derby

W 333D 233L 308
Over 2.548
Goals scored1153

Away Record: Rotherham

W 69D 102L 197
Over 2.549
Goals scored356

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026