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Bristol City vs Derby

27 April 2019 at 15:00Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol
02
Away

Derby

Referee: Darren Bond

Match Summary

Derby defeated Bristol City 2:0. The match was played in Championship 2018.

Rivalry since 2011

Bristol City vs Derby Head to Head Results· 21

Drawn
6
·
8
wins
Total goals
60 · 2.9/match
Both scored
11/21 · 52%
Over 2.5
11/21 · 52%

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20/08/19Championship
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Highest-scoring game: 33 v 2017

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

Derby

LWLWLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Bristol City dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Bristol City6wins
1draws10 meetings
Derby3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.6

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (41%) — the odds may underestimate Bristol City.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 43.2%Draw 29.1%Away 32.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.203.403.00
Max2.393.503.20
Market favourite:Bristol City · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market40.8%27.9%31.3%
Public market42.8%27.7%29.4%
Δ2.0%0.1%1.9%

Bristol City vs Derby — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Derby
Result vs. Market: Bristol City (43%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Bristol CityHalf-time:01Derby
23Shots8
11Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

30 Jan 202625/262.15/3.30/3.30
22 Aug 202525/263.08/3.22/2.42
4 Jan 202524/251.93/3.31/4.17
31 Aug 202424/252.99/3.28/2.44
23 Apr 202221/222.09/3.46/3.54
4 Dec 202121/222.51/3.14/2.98
30 Jan 202120/211.93/3.38/4.31
21 Nov 202020/212.24/3.36/3.31
12 Feb 202019/202.25/3.29/3.36
20 Aug 201919/202.14/3.34/3.57

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Bristol City

W 267D 210L 305
Over 2.547
Goals scored963

Away Record: Derby

W 333D 233L 308
Over 2.548
Goals scored1153

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026