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Blackburn vs Luton

28 September 2019 at 15:00Ewood Park, Blackburn, Lancashire
12
Away

Luton

Referee: G. Ward

Match Summary

Luton defeated Blackburn 2:1. The match was played in Championship 2019.

Rivalry since 2020

Blackburn vs Luton Head to Head Results· 9

Blackburn and Luton have met 9 times — Blackburn won 3, Luton won 2, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2020. Blackburn leads the head-to-head with 3 victories from 9 meetings. A combined 19 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.11 per match (10 for the home side, 9 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 4 matches (44%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (22%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Blackburn are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2020.

Drawn
4
·
2
wins
Total goals
19 · 2.1/match
Both scored
4/9 · 44%
Over 2.5
2/9 · 22%

Recent Meetings

12/04/25Championship
Match Details
14/12/24Championship
Match Details
01/05/23Championship
Match Details
17/09/22Championship
Match Details
29/01/22Championship
Match Details
11/09/21Championship
Match Details
30/01/21Championship
Match Details
21/11/20Championship
Match Details
22/07/20Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 32 v 2020

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Blackburn have recorded 1 win, 3 draws and 2 defeats. Luton show 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Blackburn

LWDLDD

Luton

WWWDWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Blackburn3wins
4draws10 meetings
Luton3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.2

Average goals per game

30%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (55%) — the odds may underestimate Luton.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 55.8%Draw 26.0%Away 22.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.783.754.33
Max1.804.014.56
Over 2.5: 60.2%Under 2.5: 45.5%
Market favourite:Blackburn · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market54.5%24.2%21.3%
Public market52.8%25.3%21.9%
Δ1.8%1.1%0.6%

Blackburn vs Luton — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Luton
Result vs. Market: Blackburn (56%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BlackburnHalf-time:11Luton
16Shots8
2Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

12 Apr 202524/251.86/3.44/4.31
14 Dec 202424/252.18/3.33/3.33
1 May 202322/232.27/3.49/3.08
17 Sept 202222/232.26/3.24/3.36
29 Jan 202221/222.41/3.23/3.07
11 Sept 202121/222.19/3.29/3.44
30 Jan 202120/211.84/3.48/4.58
21 Nov 202020/213.38/3.49/2.15
22 Jul 202019/201.78/3.72/4.52
28 Sept 201919/201.79/3.85/4.41

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Blackburn

W 207D 169L 222
Over 2.546
Goals scored751

Away Record: Luton

W 113D 79L 130
Over 2.547
Goals scored379

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026