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Nottingham Forest vs Luton

19 January 2020 at 12:00The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire

Match Summary

Nottingham Forest defeated Luton 3:1. The match was played in Championship 2019.

Rivalry since 2019

Nottingham Forest vs Luton Head to Head Results· 8

Nottingham Forest and Luton have met 8 times — Nottingham Forest won 2, Luton won 2, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2019. A combined 15 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.88 per match (8 for the home side, 7 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 4 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (25%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Nottingham Forest are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–2 in 2023.

Drawn
4
·
2
wins
Total goals
15 · 1.9/match
Both scored
4/8 · 50%
Over 2.5
2/8 · 25%

Recent Meetings

11/01/25FA Cup
Match Details
16/03/24Premier League
Match Details
21/10/23Premier League
Match Details
15/04/22Championship
Match Details
23/11/21Championship
Match Details
02/03/21Championship
Match Details
28/10/20Championship
Match Details
02/11/19Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 22 v 2023

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Nottingham Forest have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Luton show 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Nottingham Forest2wins
2draws6 meetings
Luton2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.8

Average goals per game

33%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (33%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (59%) — the odds may underestimate Luton.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 62.1%Draw 24.1%Away 18.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.604.105.25
Max1.634.205.52
Over 2.5: 58.1%Under 2.5: 47.6%
Market favourite:Nottingham Forest · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market59.3%23.2%17.5%
Public market59.5%23.2%17.3%

Nottingham Forest vs Luton — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Nottingham Forest
Result vs. Market: Nottingham Forest (62%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Nottingham ForestHalf-time:11Luton
22Shots8
5Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

15 Apr 202221/222.91/3.25/2.52
23 Nov 202121/222.63/3.09/2.87
2 Mar 202120/211.95/3.34/4.24
28 Oct 202020/213.04/3.10/2.54
19 Jan 202019/201.61/4.16/5.42
2 Nov 201919/202.67/3.44/2.64

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Nottingham Forest

W 238D 205L 247
Over 2.545
Goals scored860

Away Record: Luton

W 113D 79L 130
Over 2.547
Goals scored379

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026