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Watford vs Stoke City

4 November 2020 at 19:00Vicarage Road, Watford
32
Referee: A. Davies

Match Summary

Watford defeated Stoke City 3:2. The match was played in Championship 2020.

Rivalry since 2015

Watford vs Stoke City Head to Head Results· 16

6
wins
Drawn
3
·
Total goals
33 · 2.1/match
Both scored
5/16 · 31%
Over 2.5
6/16 · 38%

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Highest-scoring game: 31 v 2026

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

Watford

LLLLLD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Watford dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Watford6wins
2draws10 meetings
Stoke City2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (43%) — the odds may underestimate Watford.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 45.4%Draw 32.6%Away 26.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.153.003.70
Max2.263.113.78
Over 2.5: 40.0%Under 2.5: 65.4%
Market favourite:Watford · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market43.0%31.3%25.7%
Public market44.1%30.6%25.3%
Δ1.1%0.7%0.4%

Watford vs Stoke City — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Watford
Result vs. Market: Watford (45%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

WatfordHalf-time:11Stoke City
12Shots5
3Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

14 Mar 202625/262.57/3.30/2.55
20 Dec 202525/262.06/3.33/3.33
1 Mar 202524/252.46/3.34/2.89
17 Aug 202424/252.64/3.24/2.74
29 Dec 202323/242.15/3.35/3.44
19 Aug 202323/242.22/3.31/3.20
8 May 202322/232.35/3.39/2.97
2 Oct 202222/232.50/3.26/2.93
22 Jan 202120/213.41/3.08/2.33
4 Nov 202020/212.20/3.07/3.74

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Watford

W 265D 195L 230
Over 2.553
Goals scored989

Away Record: Stoke City

W 189D 152L 211
Over 2.542
Goals scored635

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026