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Bournemouth vs Luton

16 January 2021 at 15:00Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth, Dorset
01
Away

Luton

Referee: D. Webb

Match Summary

Luton defeated Bournemouth 1:0. The match was played in Championship 2020.

Rivalry since 2020

Bournemouth vs Luton Head to Head Results· 6

Bournemouth and Luton have met 6 times — Bournemouth won 3, Luton won 2, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2020. Bournemouth leads the head-to-head with 3 victories from 6 meetings. A combined 22 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.67 per match (13 for the home side, 9 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 4 matches (67%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 games (83%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–3 in 2024.

Drawn
1
·
2
wins
Total goals
22 · 3.7/match
Both scored
4/6 · 67%
Over 2.5
5/6 · 83%

Recent Meetings

06/04/24Premier League
Match Details
13/03/24Premier League
Match Details
15/01/22Championship
Match Details
25/09/21Championship
Match Details
19/12/20Championship
Match Details
04/01/20FA Cup
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 43 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Bournemouth have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats. Luton show 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Luton

WWWDWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Bournemouth1wins
1draws4 meetings
Luton2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (61%) — the odds may underestimate Luton.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 63.3%Draw 26.3%Away 15.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.573.706.50
Max1.603.916.59
Over 2.5: 50.0%Under 2.5: 55.6%
Market favourite:Bournemouth · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market60.5%24.8%14.7%
Public market60.4%25.0%14.6%

Bournemouth vs Luton — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Luton
Result vs. Market: Bournemouth (63%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BournemouthHalf-time:00Luton
14Shots8
4Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

15 Jan 202221/222.90/3.31/2.48
25 Sept 202121/221.62/4.05/5.38
16 Jan 202120/211.58/3.80/6.53
19 Dec 202020/214.54/3.74/1.78

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Bournemouth

W 91D 48L 45
Over 2.552
Goals scored312

Away Record: Luton

W 113D 79L 130
Over 2.547
Goals scored379

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026