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Stoke City vs Luton

20 February 2021 at 15:00bet365 Stadium, Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire
30
Away

Luton

Referee: R. Jones

Match Summary

Stoke City defeated Luton 3:0. The match was played in Championship 2020.

Rivalry since 2019

Stoke City vs Luton Head to Head Results· 9

Stoke City and Luton have met 9 times — Stoke City won 4, Luton won 3, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2019. Stoke City leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 9 meetings. A combined 19 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.11 per match (12 for the home side, 7 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 4 matches (44%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (33%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Luton are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–1 in 2024.

Drawn
2
·
3
wins
Total goals
19 · 2.1/match
Both scored
4/9 · 44%
Over 2.5
3/9 · 33%

Recent Meetings

08/04/25Championship
Match Details
10/12/24Championship
Match Details
04/02/23Championship
Match Details
08/11/22Championship
Match Details
23/02/22Championship
Match Details
06/11/21Championship
Match Details
17/10/20Championship
Match Details
29/02/20Championship
Match Details
10/12/19Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 21 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Stoke City have recorded 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats. Luton show 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Luton

WWWDWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.2

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
2
10 meetings
3
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (42%) — the odds may underestimate Stoke City.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

8 Apr 202524/252.46/3.19/3.04
Match Details
10 Dec 202424/252.07/3.36/3.61
Match Details
4 Feb 202322/232.24/3.26/3.38
Match Details
8 Nov 202222/232.02/3.33/3.90
Match Details
23 Feb 202221/222.13/3.22/3.68
Match Details
6 Nov 202121/222.43/3.18/3.09
Match Details
20 Feb 202120/212.26/3.09/3.55
Match Details
17 Oct 202020/213.17/3.21/2.39
Match Details
29 Feb 202019/203.34/3.37/2.22
Match Details
10 Dec 201919/201.62/4.10/5.47
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 4.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 44.3%Draw 32.4%Away 28.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.203.003.50
Max2.323.173.60
Over 2.5: 40.0%Under 2.5: 65.4%
Market favourite:Stoke City · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market41.9%30.7%27.4%
Public market43.1%30.6%26.3%
Δ1.2%0.1%1.1%

Stoke City vs Luton — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Stoke City
Result vs. Market: Stoke City (44%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Stoke CityHalf-time:10Luton
18Shots8
8Shots on target1

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Stoke City

W 189D 152L 211
Over 2.542
Goals scored635

Away Record: Luton

W 113D 79L 130
Over 2.547
Goals scored379

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026