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Middlesbrough vs Watford

5 April 2021 at 12:30Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
Referee: T. Robinson

Match Summary

Middlesbrough and Watford drew 1:1. The match was played in Championship 2020.

Rivalry since 2011

Middlesbrough vs Watford Head to Head Results· 19

Middlesbrough and Watford have met 19 times — Middlesbrough won 6, Watford won 10, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Watford leads the head-to-head with 10 victories from 19 meetings. A combined 48 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.53 per match (23 for the home side, 25 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 10 matches (53%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 games (53%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–1 in 2026.

Drawn
3
·
10
wins
Total goals
48 · 2.5/match
Both scored
10/19 · 53%
Over 2.5
10/19 · 53%

Recent Meetings

25/04/26Championship
Match Details
01/11/25Championship
Match Details
15/02/25Championship
Match Details
05/10/24Championship
Match Details
04/05/24Championship
Match Details
30/09/23Championship
Match Details
28/01/23Championship
Match Details
30/08/22Championship
Match Details
11/09/20Championship
Match Details
14/01/17Premier League
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 51 v 2026

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Middlesbrough have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Watford show 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Middlesbrough4wins
1draws10 meetings
Watford5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (28%) — the odds may underestimate Middlesbrough.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 29.1%Draw 32.2%Away 43.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.303.102.25
Max3.513.132.36
Over 2.5: 42.2%Under 2.5: 63.7%
Market favourite:Watford · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market27.7%31.1%41.2%
Public market27.1%30.6%42.2%
Δ0.6%0.4%1.0%

Middlesbrough vs Watford — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Watford (43%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MiddlesbroughHalf-time:01Watford
3Shots10
1Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

25 Apr 202625/261.39/4.75/6.50
1 Nov 202525/262.65/3.40/2.45
15 Feb 202524/251.61/4.06/5.21
5 Oct 202424/253.60/3.72/1.97
4 May 202423/241.70/3.99/4.69
30 Sept 202323/242.44/3.41/2.91
28 Jan 202322/231.93/3.45/4.17
30 Aug 202222/232.50/3.21/2.96
5 Apr 202120/213.44/3.11/2.30
11 Sept 202020/212.00/3.35/4.04

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Middlesbrough

W 311D 182L 243
Over 2.547
Goals scored1001

Away Record: Watford

W 265D 195L 230
Over 2.553
Goals scored989

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026