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Stoke City vs Millwall

5 April 2021 at 15:00bet365 Stadium, Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire
12
Referee: G. Ward

Match Summary

Millwall defeated Stoke City 2:1. The match was played in Championship 2020.

Rivalry since 2018

Stoke City vs Millwall Head to Head Results· 15

Stoke City and Millwall have met 15 times — Stoke City won 2, Millwall won 8, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2018. Millwall leads the head-to-head with 8 victories from 15 meetings. A combined 21 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.40 per match (6 for the home side, 15 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (20%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (13%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Millwall are currently unbeaten in the last 8 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–3 in 2026.

Drawn
5
·
Total goals
21 · 1.4/match
Both scored
3/15 · 20%
Over 2.5
2/15 · 13%

Recent Meetings

21/04/26Championship
Match Details
21/10/25Championship
Match Details
15/03/25Championship
Match Details
09/11/24Championship
Match Details
23/12/23Championship
Match Details
26/08/23Championship
Match Details
25/02/23Championship
Match Details
30/07/22Championship
Match Details
19/03/22Championship
Match Details
23/10/21Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 13 v 2026

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Stoke City have recorded 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats. Millwall show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Millwall

LDWDWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Millwall dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Stoke City1wins
2draws10 meetings
Millwall7wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.8

Average goals per game

20%

Games with 3+ goals

30%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (43%) — the odds may underestimate Millwall.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 45.2%Draw 32.3%Away 27.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.203.003.60
Max2.243.193.75
Over 2.5: 38.2%Under 2.5: 66.7%
Market favourite:Stoke City · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market43.5%30.5%26.0%
Public market43.1%31.6%25.3%
Δ0.4%1.1%0.7%

Stoke City vs Millwall — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Millwall
Result vs. Market: Stoke City (45%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Stoke CityHalf-time:11Millwall
14Shots10
5Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

21 Apr 202625/263.70/3.70/1.86
21 Oct 202525/262.30/3.24/3.14
15 Mar 202524/252.18/3.11/3.62
9 Nov 202424/252.59/3.20/2.86
23 Dec 202323/242.08/3.42/3.51
26 Aug 202323/242.29/3.17/3.17
25 Feb 202322/232.42/3.13/3.11
30 Jul 202222/232.32/3.22/3.23
19 Mar 202221/222.34/3.19/3.25
23 Oct 202121/222.57/3.05/3.00

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Stoke City

W 189D 152L 211
Over 2.542
Goals scored635

Away Record: Millwall

W 250D 216L 270
Over 2.541
Goals scored816

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026