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Cardiff vs Millwall

21 August 2021 at 15:00Cardiff City Stadium, Caerdydd
31
Referee: J. Linington

Match Summary

Cardiff defeated Millwall 3:1. The match was played in Championship 2021.

Rivalry since 2011

Cardiff vs Millwall Head to Head Results· 19

Cardiff and Millwall have met 19 times — Cardiff won 4, Millwall won 5, with 10 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Millwall leads the head-to-head with 5 victories from 19 meetings. A combined 32 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.68 per match (15 for the home side, 17 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 8 matches (42%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (21%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–2 in 2025.

4
wins
Drawn
10
·
Total goals
32 · 1.7/match
Both scored
8/19 · 42%
Over 2.5
4/19 · 21%

Recent Meetings

21/01/25Championship
Match Details
01/10/24Championship
Match Details
13/04/24Championship
Match Details
09/12/23Championship
Match Details
21/01/23Championship
Match Details
03/09/22Championship
Match Details
12/02/22Championship
Match Details
30/01/21Championship
Match Details
21/11/20Championship
Match Details
26/12/19Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 22 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Cardiff have recorded 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. Millwall show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Cardiff

LWWWDW

Millwall

LDWDWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Cardiff3wins
3draws10 meetings
Millwall4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.4

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (42%) — the odds may underestimate Cardiff.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 44.4%Draw 32.4%Away 28.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.203.003.40
Max2.303.203.67
Over 2.5: 40.0%Under 2.5: 65.4%
Market favourite:Cardiff · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market42.1%31.5%26.4%
Public market43.2%29.7%27.1%
Δ1.1%1.8%0.8%

Cardiff vs Millwall — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Cardiff
Result vs. Market: Cardiff (44%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CardiffHalf-time:00Millwall
16Shots12
5Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

21 Jan 202524/252.19/2.93/3.88
1 Oct 202424/253.16/3.12/2.44
13 Apr 202423/241.85/3.31/4.72
9 Dec 202323/242.10/3.20/3.75
21 Jan 202322/233.10/3.07/2.48
3 Sept 202222/232.08/3.17/3.92
12 Feb 202221/222.33/3.23/3.23
21 Aug 202121/222.25/3.09/3.52
30 Jan 202120/212.30/3.21/3.34
21 Nov 202020/212.54/3.11/3.03

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Cardiff

W 340D 245L 289
Over 2.547
Goals scored1142

Away Record: Millwall

W 250D 216L 270
Over 2.541
Goals scored816

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026