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Luton vs Birmingham

21 August 2021 at 15:00Kenilworth Road, Luton, Bedfordshire
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Luton

05
Referee: J. Busby

Match Summary

Birmingham defeated Luton 5:0. The match was played in Championship 2021.

Rivalry since 2019

Luton vs Birmingham Head to Head Results· 7

2
wins
Drawn
2
·
Total goals
13 · 1.9/match
Both scored
3/7 · 43%
Over 2.5
3/7 · 43%

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Highest-scoring game: 30 v 2022

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

Luton

WWWDWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Luton3wins
3draws10 meetings
Birmingham4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (46%) — the odds may underestimate Birmingham.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 48.5%Draw 30.2%Away 26.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.003.203.60
Max2.103.473.80
Over 2.5: 45.5%Under 2.5: 60.2%
Market favourite:Luton · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market46.5%27.9%25.6%
Public market46.7%28.7%24.6%
Δ0.2%0.9%1.1%

Luton vs Birmingham — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Birmingham
Result vs. Market: Luton (49%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

LutonHalf-time:02Birmingham
11Shots20
3Shots on target9

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

29/12/0606/071.36/4.19/7.67
25 Feb 202322/232.96/3.11/2.57
30 Jul 202222/231.85/3.50/4.42
12 Feb 202221/222.96/3.22/2.48
21 Aug 202121/222.06/3.31/3.72
13 Feb 202120/212.67/3.04/2.91
24 Nov 202020/212.77/3.07/2.79
11 Jan 202019/202.99/3.53/2.34
26 Oct 201919/202.00/3.44/3.94
14/10/0606/072.60/3.12/2.48

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Luton

W 113D 79L 130
Over 2.547
Goals scored379

Away Record: Birmingham

W 247D 211L 278
Over 2.544
Goals scored869

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026