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Stoke City vs Burnley

30 December 2022 at 19:45bet365 Stadium, Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire
01
Referee: K. Stroud

Match Summary

Burnley defeated Stoke City 1:0. The match was played in Championship 2022.

Rivalry since 2014

Stoke City vs Burnley Head to Head Results· 10

Stoke City and Burnley have met 10 times — Stoke City won 2, Burnley won 4, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2014. Burnley leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 10 meetings. A combined 14 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.40 per match (6 for the home side, 8 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (30%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 game (10%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–2 in 2014.

Drawn
4
·
4
wins
Total goals
14 · 1.4/match
Both scored
3/10 · 30%
Over 2.5
1/10 · 10%

Recent Meetings

02/08/25Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
01/01/25Championship
Match Details
30/11/24Championship
Match Details
05/10/22Championship
Match Details
22/04/18Premier League
Match Details
12/12/17Premier League
Match Details
04/04/17Premier League
Match Details
03/12/16Premier League
Match Details
16/05/15Premier League
Match Details
22/11/14Premier League
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 12 v 2014

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Stoke City have recorded 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats. Burnley show 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Burnley

DLDLLL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.1

Average goals per game

0%

Games with 3+ goals

25%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
4
8 meetings
3
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (30%) — the odds may underestimate Burnley.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

1 Jan 202524/251.56/3.81/6.35
Match Details
30 Nov 202424/253.08/3.28/2.37
Match Details
24/11/0707/082.24/3.21/2.97
23/01/0706/072.28/3.20/2.79
30 Dec 202222/233.19/3.33/2.28
Match Details
5 Oct 202222/231.73/3.69/4.97
Match Details
16/09/0606/072.13/3.16/3.10
3 Aug 200807/081.86/3.30/3.89

Market Summary

Margin: 5.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 31.3%Draw 30.1%Away 43.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.103.252.25
Max3.273.482.30
Over 2.5: 50.0%Under 2.5: 55.6%
Market favourite:Burnley · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market29.7%28.0%42.3%
Public market29.6%29.2%41.2%
Δ0.1%1.2%1.1%

Stoke City vs Burnley — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Burnley
Result vs. Market: Burnley (44%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Stoke CityHalf-time:00Burnley
6Shots7
3Shots on target2

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Stoke City

W 189D 152L 211
Over 2.542
Goals scored635

Away Record: Burnley

W 241D 164L 147
Over 2.544
Goals scored756

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026