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Millwall vs Burnley

21 February 2023 at 19:45The Den, London
11
Referee: J. Linington

Match Summary

Millwall and Burnley drew 1:1. The match was played in Championship 2022.

Rivalry since 2011

Millwall vs Burnley Head to Head Results· 11

Millwall and Burnley have met 11 times — Millwall won 2, Burnley won 7, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Burnley leads the head-to-head with 7 victories from 11 meetings. A combined 34 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.09 per match (11 for the home side, 23 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 6 matches (55%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (55%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–1 in 2026.

Drawn
2
·
7
wins
Total goals
34 · 3.1/match
Both scored
6/11 · 55%
Over 2.5
6/11 · 55%

Recent Meetings

10/01/26FA Cup
Match Details
03/05/25Championship
Match Details
03/11/24Championship
Match Details
30/08/22Championship
Match Details
23/09/20League Cup
Match Details
08/02/14Championship
Match Details
02/11/13Championship
Match Details
19/01/13Championship
Match Details
29/09/12Championship
Match Details
25/02/12Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 51 v 2026

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Millwall have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Burnley show 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Millwall

LDWDWW

Burnley

DLDLLL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Millwall2wins
3draws10 meetings
Burnley5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.8

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Market Summary

Margin: 4.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 30.0%Draw 31.8%Away 42.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.303.002.30
Max3.403.222.38
Over 2.5: 40.0%Under 2.5: 65.4%
Market favourite:Burnley · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market28.6%30.2%41.2%
Public market29.3%30.2%40.6%

Millwall vs Burnley — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Burnley (43%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MillwallHalf-time:00Burnley
12Shots17
3Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

29/09/1212/132.02/3.39/3.90
25/02/1211/121.95/3.34/3.92
3 May 202524/251.63/3.85/5.67
3 Nov 202424/252.78/3.04/2.77
21 Feb 202322/233.33/3.14/2.35
30 Aug 202222/231.89/3.33/4.55
11 Feb 201313/143.29/3.35/2.32
2 Aug 201413/141.64/3.81/6.07
19/01/1312/132.24/3.37/3.38
10 Jan 201111/122.12/3.33/3.39

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Millwall

W 250D 216L 270
Over 2.541
Goals scored816

Away Record: Burnley

W 241D 164L 147
Over 2.544
Goals scored756

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026