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Stoke City vs Southampton

3 October 2023 at 20:00bet365 Stadium, Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire
Referee: J. Bell

Match Summary

Southampton defeated Stoke City 1:0. The match was played in Championship 2023.

Rivalry since 2012

Stoke City vs Southampton Head to Head Results· 17

Stoke City and Southampton have met 17 times — Stoke City won 6, Southampton won 5, with 6 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. Stoke City leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 17 meetings. A combined 42 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.47 per match (21 for the home side, 21 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 10 matches (59%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 games (47%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2012.

Drawn
6
·
Total goals
42 · 2.5/match
Both scored
10/17 · 59%
Over 2.5
8/17 · 47%

Recent Meetings

31/01/26Championship
Match Details
23/08/25Championship
Match Details
29/10/24League Cup
Match Details
27/04/24Championship
Match Details
03/03/18Premier League
Match Details
30/09/17Premier League
Match Details
21/05/17Premier League
Match Details
14/12/16Premier League
Match Details
12/03/16Premier League
Match Details
21/11/15Premier League
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 33 v 2012

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Stoke City have recorded 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats. Southampton show 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.6

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
0
8 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (35%) — the odds may underestimate Stoke City.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

31 Jan 202625/262.85/3.40/2.30
Match Details
23 Aug 202525/261.75/3.78/4.46
Match Details
25/08/0707/082.12/3.21/3.17
27 Apr 202423/241.78/4.24/3.98
Match Details
3 Oct 202323/242.70/3.39/2.61
Match Details
21/10/0606/071.85/3.15/4.01
2 Dec 200807/081.77/3.34/4.36
3 Oct 200706/072.40/3.18/2.62

Market Summary

Margin: 4.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 37.0%Draw 29.5%Away 38.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.623.302.60
Max2.783.462.64
Over 2.5: 55.6%Under 2.5: 50.0%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market35.0%28.1%36.9%
Public market35.3%28.0%36.7%

Stoke City vs Southampton — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Southampton
Result vs. Market: Southampton (38%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Stoke CityHalf-time:01Southampton
15Shots9
2Shots on target4

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Stoke City

W 189D 152L 211
Over 2.542
Goals scored635

Away Record: Southampton

W 131D 94L 97
Over 2.552
Goals scored482

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026