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Hull City vs Birmingham

5 March 2024 at 19:45The MKM Stadium, Hull
11
Referee: K. Stroud

Match Summary

Hull City and Birmingham drew 1:1. The match was played in Championship 2023.

Rivalry since 2011

Hull City vs Birmingham Head to Head Results· 21

Hull City and Birmingham have met 21 times — Hull City won 11, Birmingham won 4, with 6 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Hull City leads the head-to-head with 11 victories from 21 meetings. A combined 64 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.05 per match (40 for the home side, 24 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 10 matches (48%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 games (48%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 6–1 in 2017.

11
wins
Drawn
6
·
Total goals
64 · 3.0/match
Both scored
10/21 · 48%
Over 2.5
10/21 · 48%

Recent Meetings

18/04/26Championship
Match Details
18/10/25Championship
Match Details
16/01/24FA Cup
Match Details
06/01/24FA Cup
Match Details
25/10/23Championship
Match Details
30/12/22Championship
Match Details
16/10/22Championship
Match Details
12/03/22Championship
Match Details
20/11/21Championship
Match Details
27/06/20Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 61 v 2017

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Hull City have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Birmingham show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Hull City5wins
4draws10 meetings
Birmingham1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

30%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (56%) — the odds may underestimate Birmingham.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 57.9%Draw 25.4%Away 21.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.723.804.33
Max1.734.004.96
Over 2.5: 59.9%Under 2.5: 46.5%
Market favourite:Hull City · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market56.3%24.2%19.5%
Public market55.7%24.1%20.3%

Hull City vs Birmingham — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Hull City (58%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Hull CityHalf-time:10Birmingham
22Shots8
5Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

18 Apr 202625/262.40/3.50/2.70
18 Oct 202525/261.72/3.74/4.67
5 Mar 202423/241.73/3.93/4.68
25 Oct 202323/242.31/3.29/3.17
30 Dec 202222/231.99/3.31/3.99
16 Oct 202222/232.61/3.20/2.81
12 Mar 202221/222.11/3.28/3.70
20 Nov 202121/222.63/3.20/2.81
27 Jun 202019/201.77/3.68/4.74
21 Dec 201919/201.95/3.53/4.03

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Hull City

W 249D 181L 260
Over 2.545
Goals scored861

Away Record: Birmingham

W 247D 211L 278
Over 2.544
Goals scored869

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026