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Burnley vs Cardiff

17 August 2024 at 15:00Turf Moor, Burnley
50
Referee: M. Salisbury

Match Summary

Burnley defeated Cardiff 5:0. The match was played in Championship 2024.

Rivalry since 2011

Burnley vs Cardiff Head to Head Results· 13

Burnley and Cardiff have met 13 times — Burnley won 4, Cardiff won 3, with 6 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Burnley leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 13 meetings. A combined 29 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.23 per match (15 for the home side, 14 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (54%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (46%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–2 in 2015.

4
wins
Drawn
6
·
3
wins
Total goals
29 · 2.2/match
Both scored
7/13 · 54%
Over 2.5
6/13 · 46%

Recent Meetings

23/09/25League Cup
Match Details
04/03/25Championship
Match Details
08/05/23Championship
Match Details
01/10/22Championship
Match Details
13/04/19Premier League
Match Details
30/09/18Premier League
Match Details
05/04/16Championship
Match Details
28/11/15Championship
Match Details
20/04/13Championship
Match Details
27/10/12Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 22 v 2015

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Burnley have recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats. Cardiff show 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Burnley

DLDLLL

Cardiff

LWWWDW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

3
wins
draws
6
10 meetings
1
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (65%) — the odds may underestimate Cardiff.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

27/10/1212/131.72/3.76/4.59
4 Mar 202524/254.38/3.30/1.93
Match Details
17 Aug 202424/251.47/4.31/6.89
Match Details
8 May 202322/231.33/5.00/9.69
Match Details
1 Oct 202222/233.05/3.26/2.42
Match Details
28/11/1515/162.94/3.15/2.63
4 May 201615/161.86/3.55/4.65
20/04/1312/132.63/3.38/2.78
20/08/1111/122.49/3.40/2.70
18/03/1211/121.94/3.32/3.97

Market Summary

Margin: 5.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 68.0%Draw 23.2%Away 14.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.454.206.66
Max1.504.537.00
Over 2.5: 57.8%Under 2.5: 48.1%
Market favourite:Burnley · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market64.9%20.9%14.2%
Public market64.4%22.2%13.3%
Δ0.5%1.3%0.9%

Burnley vs Cardiff — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Burnley
Result vs. Market: Burnley (68%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BurnleyHalf-time:20Cardiff
9Shots11
4Shots on target4

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Burnley

W 241D 164L 147
Over 2.544
Goals scored756

Away Record: Cardiff

W 340D 245L 289
Over 2.547
Goals scored1142

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026