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Luton vs Plymouth

19 February 2025 at 19:45Kenilworth Road, Luton, Bedfordshire
Home

Luton

11
Referee: J. Linington

Match Summary

Luton and Plymouth drew 1:1. The match was played in Championship 2024.

Rivalry since 2014

Luton vs Plymouth Head to Head Results· 12

Luton and Plymouth have met 12 times — Luton won 5, Plymouth won 5, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2014. A combined 30 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.50 per match (17 for the home side, 13 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 6 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–1 in 2018.

5
wins
Drawn
2
·
Total goals
30 · 2.5/match
Both scored
6/12 · 50%
Over 2.5
6/12 · 50%

Recent Meetings

24/02/26EFL Trophy
Match Details
24/01/26League One
Match Details
13/09/25League One
Match Details
27/09/24Championship
Match Details
09/03/19League One
Match Details
17/11/18League One
Match Details
25/02/17League Two
Match Details
06/08/16League Two
Match Details
19/03/16League Two
Match Details
24/10/15League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 51 v 2018

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Luton have recorded 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats. Plymouth show 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Luton

WWWDWW

Plymouth

WWDWDW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

75%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Plymouth dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

0
wins
draws
1
4 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (55%) — the odds may underestimate Plymouth.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

28/11/0606/071.83/3.24/3.84
19 Feb 202524/251.74/3.59/4.84
Match Details
27 Sept 202424/253.94/3.82/1.88
Match Details
14/04/0706/072.25/3.33/2.73

Market Summary

Margin: 6.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 57.5%Draw 27.9%Away 20.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.733.574.75
Max1.753.605.01
Over 2.5: 50.0%Under 2.5: 55.6%
Market favourite:Luton · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market54.5%26.6%18.9%
Public market54.2%26.0%19.7%

Luton vs Plymouth — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Luton (57%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

LutonHalf-time:00Plymouth
17Shots3
2Shots on target1

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Luton

W 113D 79L 130
Over 2.547
Goals scored379

Away Record: Plymouth

W 109D 102L 157
Over 2.547
Goals scored411

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026