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Blackburn vs Birmingham

16 August 2025 at 15:00Ewood Park, Blackburn
12
Referee: Oliver Langford

Match Summary

Birmingham defeated Blackburn 2:1. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by T. Cantwell 50′, J. Stansfield 90′ (pen.), L. Dykes 90′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Blackburn had 41% possession while Birmingham held 59%. Blackburn had 5 shots (2 on target) compared to 8 (4 on target) for Birmingham. Expected goals: Blackburn 0.43 — Birmingham 2.00. Blackburn made 5 substitutions, Birmingham made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Blackburn and Birmingham — 3 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Half Time
46′
A. CochraneE. Laird
R. HedgesL. Miller
69′
81′
K. AndersonT. Doyle
R. AlebiosuS. Wharton
82′
T. CantwellD. De Neve
87′
Y. OhashiM. Gueye
87′
A. KargboA. Henriksson
88′
88′
P. NeumannW. T. Willumsson
90+2′
K. FuruhashiE. Cashin
90′
90′
L. Dykes

assist: D. Gray

Full Time

Match Statistics

Blackburn had 41% possession against Birmingham's 59%. Blackburn registered 5 shots (2 on target) while Birmingham managed 8 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 3–5. Fouls committed: 14–13.

Shots on Goal
2
4
Shots Off Goal
2
2
Total Shots
5
8
Blocked Shots
1
2
Shots inside the Box
5
4
Shots outside the Box
0
4
Fouls
14
13
Corner Kicks
3
5
Offsides
3
0
Ball Possession
41%
59%
Yellow Cards
1
2
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2
1
Total Passes
295
428
Accurate Passes
203
362
Pass Accuracy
69%
85%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.43
2.00
Goals Prevented (xGP)
-0.22
-0.22

Rivalry since 2010

Blackburn vs Birmingham Head to Head Results· 28

Blackburn and Birmingham have met 28 times — Blackburn won 11, Birmingham won 7, with 10 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Blackburn leads the head-to-head with 11 victories from 28 meetings. A combined 77 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.75 per match (45 for the home side, 32 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 17 matches (61%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 games (46%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–2 in 2021.

11
wins
Drawn
10
·
Total goals
77 · 2.8/match
Both scored
17/28 · 61%
Over 2.5
13/28 · 46%

Recent Meetings

03/04/26Championship
Match Details
13/02/24Championship
Match Details
29/11/23Championship
Match Details
01/04/23Championship
Match Details
31/01/23FA Cup
Match Details
28/01/23FA Cup
Match Details
22/10/22Championship
Match Details
07/05/22Championship
Match Details
18/12/21Championship
Match Details
08/05/21Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 52 v 2021

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Blackburn have recorded 1 win, 3 draws and 2 defeats. Birmingham show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Blackburn dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Blackburn7wins
0draws10 meetings
Birmingham3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.1

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (29%) — the odds may underestimate Blackburn.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 31.5%Draw 31.0%Away 43.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.103.212.30
Max3.253.252.32
Over 2.5: 43.5%Under 2.5: 61.7%
Market favourite:Birmingham · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market29.3%29.7%41.0%
Public market30.3%28.9%40.8%

Blackburn vs Birmingham — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Birmingham
Result vs. Market: Birmingham (43%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BlackburnHalf-time:00Birmingham
5Shots8
2Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

3 Apr 202625/261.81/3.30/4.50
16 Aug 202525/263.17/3.23/2.31
13 Feb 202423/242.25/3.62/2.98
29 Nov 202323/241.80/3.74/4.26
1 Apr 202322/232.61/3.13/2.92
22 Oct 202222/232.09/3.24/3.78
7 May 202221/222.77/3.57/2.43
18 Dec 202121/221.91/3.53/4.11
8 May 202120/211.95/3.60/3.89
2 Jan 202120/213.58/3.36/2.13

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Blackburn

W 207D 169L 222
Over 2.546
Goals scored751

Away Record: Birmingham

W 247D 211L 278
Over 2.544
Goals scored869

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026