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Norwich vs Middlesbrough

23 August 2025 at 15:00Carrow Road, Norwich
Referee: Leigh Doughty

Match Summary

Middlesbrough defeated Norwich 2:1. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by F. Azaz 43′, T. Conway 45′, J. Sargent 85′. 3 yellow cards were shown, 1 red card. Norwich had 59% possession while Middlesbrough held 41%. Norwich had 14 shots (3 on target) compared to 11 (4 on target) for Middlesbrough. Expected goals: Norwich 1.18 — Middlesbrough 1.51. Norwich made 5 substitutions, Middlesbrough made 4.

Match Events

Key match events between Norwich and Middlesbrough — 3 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
43′
45′
T. Conway

assist: A. Morris

Half Time
J. StaceyK. Fisher
52′
E. MarcondesK. McLean
67′
A. CrnacO. Schwartau
67′
67′
T. ConwayD. Burgzorg
67′
M. WhittakerS. Hansen
J. CordobaJ. Schlupp
80′
P. A. DialloM. Kvistgaarden
80′
J. Sargent

assist: K. McLean

85′
90′
S. SilveraNeto Borges
Full Time

Match Statistics

Norwich had 59% possession against Middlesbrough's 41%. Norwich registered 14 shots (3 on target) while Middlesbrough managed 11 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 5–3. Fouls committed: 11–14.

Shots on Goal
3
4
Shots Off Goal
6
5
Total Shots
14
11
Blocked Shots
5
2
Shots inside the Box
10
6
Shots outside the Box
4
5
Fouls
11
14
Corner Kicks
5
3
Offsides
6
3
Ball Possession
59%
41%
Yellow Cards
0
3
Red Cards
1
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2
2
Total Passes
563
391
Accurate Passes
483
319
Pass Accuracy
86%
82%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
1.51
Goals Prevented (xGP)
-0.67
-0.67

Rivalry since 2014

Norwich vs Middlesbrough Head to Head Results· 16

Norwich and Middlesbrough have met 16 times — Norwich won 6, Middlesbrough won 7, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2014. Middlesbrough leads the head-to-head with 7 victories from 16 meetings. A combined 35 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.19 per match (14 for the home side, 21 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (31%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (38%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Middlesbrough are currently unbeaten in the last 8 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2024.

6
wins
Drawn
3
·
Total goals
35 · 2.2/match
Both scored
5/16 · 31%
Over 2.5
6/16 · 38%

Recent Meetings

31/01/26Championship
Match Details
26/04/25Championship
Match Details
27/10/24Championship
Match Details
06/03/24Championship
Match Details
24/10/23Championship
Match Details
14/04/23Championship
Match Details
12/11/22Championship
Match Details
30/01/21Championship
Match Details
21/11/20Championship
Match Details
30/03/19Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 33 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Norwich have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Middlesbrough show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Middlesbrough dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Norwich1wins
3draws10 meetings
Middlesbrough6wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (41%) — the odds may underestimate Middlesbrough.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 43.8%Draw 29.3%Away 32.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.253.403.06
Max2.323.423.10
Over 2.5: 51.8%Under 2.5: 51.8%
Market favourite:Norwich · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market41.0%27.8%31.1%
Public market41.9%27.7%30.4%

Norwich vs Middlesbrough — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Middlesbrough
Result vs. Market: Norwich (44%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

NorwichHalf-time:02Middlesbrough
14Shots11
3Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

31 Jan 202625/261.68/3.90/4.50
23 Aug 202525/262.29/3.41/3.08
26 Apr 202524/251.54/4.39/5.38
27 Oct 202424/252.80/3.46/2.46
6 Mar 202423/242.30/3.52/3.02
24 Oct 202323/242.79/3.56/2.44
14 Apr 202322/231.94/3.65/3.82
12 Nov 202222/232.18/3.36/3.40
30 Jan 202120/211.84/3.70/4.30
21 Nov 202020/212.88/3.21/2.58

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Norwich

W 271D 155L 218
Over 2.553
Goals scored961

Away Record: Middlesbrough

W 311D 182L 243
Over 2.547
Goals scored1001

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026