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Preston vs Middlesbrough

13 September 2025 at 12:30Deepdale, Preston
Referee: Thomas Kirk

Match Summary

Preston and Middlesbrough drew 2:2. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by L. Dobbin 22′, M. Targett 72′, J. Storey 88′, S. Hansen 90′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Preston had 39% possession while Middlesbrough held 61%. Preston had 7 shots (2 on target) compared to 14 (3 on target) for Middlesbrough. Expected goals: Preston 0.75 — Middlesbrough 1.52. Preston made 4 substitutions, Middlesbrough made 4.

Match Events

Key match events between Preston and Middlesbrough — 4 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
22′
Half Time
46′
M. K. SeneD. Strelec
A. DevineH. Armstrong
62′
L. DobbinM. Frokjaer-Jensen
62′
D. JebbisonM. Smith
62′
66′
M. WhittakerS. Nypan
72′
M. Targett

assist: T. Conway

T. SmallA. Vukcevic
79′
84′
H. HackneyA. Browne
J. Storey

assist: B. Whiteman

88′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Preston had 39% possession against Middlesbrough's 61%. Preston registered 7 shots (2 on target) while Middlesbrough managed 14 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 3–4. Fouls committed: 13–7.

Shots on Goal
2
3
Shots Off Goal
3
3
Total Shots
7
14
Blocked Shots
2
8
Shots inside the Box
5
9
Shots outside the Box
2
5
Fouls
13
7
Corner Kicks
3
4
Offsides
0
2
Ball Possession
39%
61%
Yellow Cards
1
3
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
1
0
Total Passes
296
476
Accurate Passes
213
395
Pass Accuracy
72%
83%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75
1.52
Goals Prevented (xGP)
-0.64
-0.64

Rivalry since 2012

Preston vs Middlesbrough Head to Head Results· 21

Preston and Middlesbrough have met 21 times — Preston won 7, Middlesbrough won 9, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. Middlesbrough leads the head-to-head with 9 victories from 21 meetings. A combined 59 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.81 per match (24 for the home side, 35 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 12 matches (57%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 games (62%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–1 in 2022.

7
wins
Drawn
5
·
Total goals
59 · 2.8/match
Both scored
12/21 · 57%
Over 2.5
13/21 · 62%

Recent Meetings

24/01/26Championship
Match Details
25/01/25Championship
Match Details
14/09/24Championship
Match Details
14/02/24Championship
Match Details
28/11/23Championship
Match Details
18/03/23Championship
Match Details
29/10/22Championship
Match Details
07/05/22Championship
Match Details
23/11/21Championship
Match Details
16/03/21Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 41 v 2022

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Preston have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats. Middlesbrough show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Preston5wins
2draws10 meetings
Middlesbrough3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.5

Average goals per game

90%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (30%) — the odds may underestimate Preston.

Market Summary

Margin: 7.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 32.4%Draw 30.3%Away 44.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.003.302.20
Max3.173.302.32
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 57.8%
Market favourite:Middlesbrough · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market30.1%28.9%41.1%
Public market30.6%27.8%41.7%
Δ0.5%1.1%0.6%

Preston vs Middlesbrough — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Middlesbrough (44%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

PrestonHalf-time:10Middlesbrough
7Shots14
2Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

24 Jan 202625/261.51/4.00/5.75
13 Sept 202525/263.08/3.30/2.26
25 Jan 202524/253.22/3.26/2.29
14 Sept 202424/251.47/4.35/6.89
14 Feb 202423/243.27/3.37/2.20
28 Nov 202323/241.66/3.73/5.31
18 Mar 202322/231.56/3.92/6.43
29 Oct 202222/232.78/3.05/2.75
7 May 202221/224.91/3.93/1.69
23 Nov 202121/222.01/3.27/3.98

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Preston

W 300D 240L 288
Over 2.548
Goals scored1015

Away Record: Middlesbrough

W 311D 182L 243
Over 2.547
Goals scored1001

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026